Sure Wins – እርግጠኛ ውርርድ ማለት ምን ማለት ነው?

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Sure bets are terms used on betting worlds which are given for bets with guaranteed or high possibility of winning. Before we take off to look on sure bets characteristics, let see the two different theories behind sure bet.

Thór vs Dalvík / Reynir
Thór wins

1.20

ÍBV vs Grindavík
ÍBV wins

1.23

Deportivo Morón vs Estudiantes Río Cuarto
Under 2.5

1.25

Gimnasia Jujuy vs Gimnasia y Tiro
Under 2.5

1.25

Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Dongguan United
Chongqing Tongliang Long wins

1.25

All Boys vs Estudiantes Caseros
Under 2.5

1.28

Guillermo Brown vs San Martín Tucumán
Under 2.5

1.30

Brown de Adrogué vs Almirante Brown
Under 2.5

1.30

ÍBV vs Grindavík
Over 2.5

1.30

Consadole Sapporo vs Yokohama F. Marinos
Over 2.5

1.30

Gimnasia Mendoza vs Mitre Santiago d. Estero
Under 2.5

1.33

Thór vs Dalvík / Reynir
Over 2.5

1.33

Consadole Sapporo vs Yokohama F. Marinos
Both Team to Score

1.33

Gimnasia Jujuy vs Gimnasia y Tiro
Both Team not to Score

1.36

Thróttur Reykjavík vs Leiknir Reykjavík
Both Team to Score

1.36

Kairat vs Zenit
Zenit wins

1.40

Racing Córdoba vs San Miguel
Under 2.5

1.40

Fjölnir vs Afturelding
Both Team to Score

1.40

Zbrojovka Brno II vs Unie Hlubina
Over 2.5

1.40

Gimnasia Mendoza vs Mitre Santiago d. Estero
Both Team not to Score

1.42

Liniers vs Villa Dálmine
Under 2.5

1.42

Deportivo Morón vs Estudiantes Río Cuarto
Both Team not to Score

1.44

San Telmo vs Atlético Rafaela
Under 2.5

1.44

Flandria vs Fénix
Under 2.5

1.44

Once Caldas vs Millonarios
Under 2.5

1.44

Thróttur Reykjavík vs Leiknir Reykjavík
Over 2.5

1.44

Fjölnir vs Afturelding
Over 2.5

1.44

Karviná II vs Hodonín
Over 2.5

1.44

Coritiba vs Novorizontino
Under 2.5

1.45

Racing Ferrol vs Mirandes
Under 2.5

1.47

Real Zaragoza vs Elche
Under 2.5

1.47

All Boys vs Estudiantes Caseros
Both Team not to Score

1.47

Guillermo Brown vs San Martín Tucumán
Both Team not to Score

1.47

Defensores de Belgrano vs Defensores Unidos
Under 2.5

1.47

Defensores de Belgrano vs Defensores Unidos
Both Team not to Score

1.47

Fagiano Okayama vs Blaublitz Akita
Under 2.5

1.47

ÍR vs Grótta
ÍR wins

1.48

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Dallas
Both Team to Score

1.48

Alvarado vs Ferro Carril Oeste
Under 2.5

1.50

Brown de Adrogué vs Almirante Brown
Both Team not to Score

1.50

Ceará vs Operário PR
Under 2.5

1.50

ÍR vs Grótta
Both Team to Score

1.50

Achuapa vs Zacapa Tellioz
Achuapa wins

1.50

Admira Praha vs České Budějovice II
Over 2.5

1.50

Sokol Brozany vs Sokol Zápy
Both Team to Score

1.50

Zbrojovka Brno II vs Unie Hlubina
Zbrojovka Brno II wins

1.50

Zbrojovka Brno II vs Unie Hlubina
Both Team to Score

1.50

Benátky nad Jizerou vs Baník Souš
Both Team to Score

1.51

Liniers vs Villa Dálmine
Both Team not to Score

1.52

Teplice II vs Ústí nad Orlicí
Both Team to Score

1.52

Karviná II vs Hodonín
Karviná II wins

1.52

ÍR vs Grótta
Over 2.5

1.53

Teplice II vs Ústí nad Orlicí
Over 2.5

1.53

Karviná II vs Hodonín
Both Team to Score

1.53

Flandria vs Fénix
Both Team not to Score

1.55

Ceará vs Operário PR
Both Team not to Score

1.55

ÍBV vs Grindavík
Both Team to Score

1.55

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Dallas
Over 2.5

1.55

Admira Praha vs České Budějovice II
Both Team to Score

1.55

Racing Córdoba vs San Miguel
Both Team not to Score

1.57

San Telmo vs Atlético Rafaela
Both Team not to Score

1.57

Coritiba vs Novorizontino
Both Team not to Score

1.57

Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Dongguan United
Both Team not to Score

1.57

Alianza Petrolera vs Fortaleza CEIF
Under 2.5

1.57

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus
Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins

1.57

Kalisz vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała
Over 2.5

1.57

Kalisz vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała
Both Team to Score

1.57

Podbeskidzie vs Wieczysta Kraków
Wieczysta Kraków wins

1.57

Platense vs Municipal Limeño
Under 2.5

1.57

Fuerte San Francisco vs Once Deportivo
Under 2.5

1.57

Sokol Brozany vs Sokol Zápy
Over 2.5

1.57

Benátky nad Jizerou vs Baník Souš
Over 2.5

1.57

Kairat vs Zenit
Over 2.5

1.59

Defensores de Belgrano vs Defensores Unidos
Defensores de Belgrano wins

1.60

Podbeskidzie vs Wieczysta Kraków
Over 2.5

1.60

Racing Ferrol vs Mirandes
Both Team not to Score

1.62

Once Caldas vs Millonarios
Both Team not to Score

1.62

Boca Juniors de Cali vs Internacional Palmira
Under 2.5

1.62

Dorados vs Correcaminos UAT
Both Team to Score

1.63

Fagiano Okayama vs Blaublitz Akita
Both Team not to Score

1.65

Podbeskidzie vs Wieczysta Kraków
Both Team to Score

1.65

Yanbian Longding vs Dalian Zhixing
Under 2.5

1.66

Thór vs Dalvík / Reynir
Both Team to Score

1.66

América Mineiro vs Guarani
América Mineiro wins

1.67

América Mineiro vs Guarani
Under 2.5

1.67

América Mineiro vs Guarani
Both Team not to Score

1.67

Telstar vs MVV
Both Team to Score

1.67

FC Cartagena vs Levante
Under 2.5

1.68

Eldense vs Almeria
Under 2.5

1.68

Real Zaragoza vs Elche
Both Team not to Score

1.68

Ventforet Kofu vs Kawasaki Frontale
Over 2.5

1.68

Ventforet Kofu vs Kawasaki Frontale
Both Team to Score

1.68

Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Venados FC
Both Team to Score

1.68

Achuapa vs Zacapa Tellioz
Both Team not to Score

1.68

Alvarado vs Ferro Carril Oeste
Both Team not to Score

1.70

Yanbian Longding vs Dalian Zhixing
Dalian Zhixing wins

1.70

Orsomarso vs Rionegro
Both Team to Score

1.70

Ventforet Kofu vs Kawasaki Frontale
Kawasaki Frontale wins

1.70

Kalisz vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała
Kalisz wins

1.70

Yanbian Longding vs Dalian Zhixing
Both Team not to Score

1.72

Suzhou Dongwu vs Nanjing City
Under 2.5

1.72

Kairat vs Zenit
Both Team to Score

1.73

Ceará vs Operário PR
Ceará wins

1.75

Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Dongguan United
Over 2.5

1.75

Alianza Petrolera vs Fortaleza CEIF
Both Team not to Score

1.75

Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Venados FC
Over 2.5

1.75

Achuapa vs Zacapa Tellioz
Under 2.5

1.75

Liniers vs Villa Dálmine
Liniers wins

1.78

Wuxi Wugou vs Guangzhou FC
Under 2.5

1.78

Gimnasia Mendoza vs Mitre Santiago d. Estero
Gimnasia Mendoza wins

1.80

Suzhou Dongwu vs Nanjing City
Both Team to Score

1.80

Wuxi Wugou vs Guangzhou FC
Both Team to Score

1.80

Orsomarso vs Rionegro
Under 2.5

1.80

Boca Juniors de Cali vs Internacional Palmira
Both Team not to Score

1.80

Machida Zelvia vs Albirex Niigata
Both Team to Score

1.80

Telstar vs MVV
Telstar wins

1.80

Telstar vs MVV
Over 2.5

1.80

Dorados vs Correcaminos UAT
Over 2.5

1.80

Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Venados FC
Venados FC wins

1.80

Platense vs Municipal Limeño
Both Team not to Score

1.80

Fuerte San Francisco vs Once Deportivo
Both Team not to Score

1.80

The first one is Bets which have a great possibility of chance to win with a lot of indicating factors are called sure bets according to various on betting industry. This bets are claimed as sure bets after going on through analysis of factors involved on the matches like recent forms, head to head history, squad news, fixtures and so on. Even if this bets have very likely chance of winning regards to possibility they can’t be confirmed as hundred percent win due to the nature of unexpected occurrence on events once in a while.

The other sure bet definition is used to refer bets which guarantee winnings regardless to outcomes of the event. This bets are also called arbitrage. This bets work on principle of mathematical formula to secure profits on bet whatever the final score says. It depends on exploiting bookmakers’ odd calculation difference from site to site. Bookmakers set odds based on their data and analysis on the particular event and there are times where these bookies have different perspective on some events possible outcome. So betting experts sniff around various sites to find this mathematical breach and they use the opportunity to set up different bets on opposite outcomes of same event with calculated stakes to bring of a little bit profit or stake return.  According to research the profit margins for Sure bets range between 1 and 3 %.

እርግጠኛ ውርርድ ማለት ምን ማለት ነው?

እርግጠኛ ውርርድ የሚባሉት ውርርዶች የማሸነፍ ዋስትና ያላቸው ወይም ከፍተኛ የማሸነፍ ዕድል ያላቸው የውርርድ አይነቶች ሲሆኑ  ነው፡፡ ስለነዚህ ውርርዶች ባህሪያት ለማየት ከመነሳታችን በፊት፣ ከተረጋገጡ ውርርዶች በስተጀርባ ያሉትን ሁለት የተለያዩ ሐሳቦች እንመልከት።

የመጀመርያው የተረጋገጡ ውርርድ በመባል የሚታወቁት በብዙ ትንተናዎች እና እይታዎች መሰረት በጣም ከፍተኛ የማሸነፍ እድል የተሰጣቸው ውርርዶች  ናቸው ። እነዚህ ውርርዶች የተረጋገጠ የማሸነፍ ዕድል አላቸው ለማለት የሚረዱ ዕይታዎች ማለትም የተጋጣሚዎች ወቅታዊ አቋም፣ ያለፉ የእርስ በርስ ግጥሚያዎች ታሪክ ፣ የቡድን ዜናዎች፣ የቅርብ ጨዋታ መርሃግብሮች እና ሌሎችም ከላይ ያልተካተቱትን ሁኔታዎች በመተንተን የመሆን ዕድላቸው በጣም የሰፉ ግምቶችን መወራረድ ማለት ነው ። ምንም እንኳን እነዚህ ውርርዶች የማሸነፍ እድላቸው ምንም ያህል ከፍተኛ ቢሆንም እንኳ መቶ በመቶ የማሸነፍ ዕድል አላቸው ብሎ መደምደም አይቻልም፡፡ ምክንያቱ ደግሞ አንዳንድ ጊዜ በስፖርት ዓለም ውስጥ ከግምት ውጭ ያልተጠበቁ ነገሮች የመከሰት ዕድል ስላላቸው ነው።

ሌላኛው የተረጋገጠ ውርርድ ትርጉም የሚሰጠው የጨዋታው ውጤት ምንም ይሁን ምን የተወራራጆችን አሸናፊነትን ለሚያረጋግጥ የውርርድ አይነት ለማመልከት ነው። ይህ ውርርድ አርቢትሬጅ ተብሎም ይጠራል። በዚህ የውርርድ አይነት የመጨረሻው ውጤት ምንም ይሁን ምን በውርርድ ላይ ትርፍ ለማግኘት የሚሰላ የሂሳብ ቀመር የያዘ ነው። ይህ ስልት በተፎካካሪ የውርርድ ድርጅቶች መካከል የሚፈጠርን የኦድ ካልኩሌሽን ክፍተት በመጠቀም ላይ የተመሰረተ ነው፡፡ የውርርድ ድርጅቶች በአንድ የተወሰነ ክስተት ላይ ባላቸው መረጃ እና ትንታኔ ተመስርተው ኦዶችን ያዘጋጃሉ፡፡ ታዲያ በዚህ ስሌታቸው ውስጥ አንዳንድ ጊዜ ለተመሳሳይ ክስተቶች የተለያየ ዕይታ እና ግምት የሚያስቀምጡበት ጊዜ አለ።

እነዚህን መሰል ክፍተቶች ለመጠቀም የውርርድ ባለሙያዎች በተለያዩ  የውርርድ ድርጅት ድረ-ገጾች ላይ ካሰሱ በኋላ የሚያገኙትን ዕድል ተጠቅመው ትንሽ ትርፍ ወይም ያስያዙትን ገንዘብ ተመላሽ ለማድረግ የሚያስችል የውርርድ ቀመር ያዘጋጃሉ፡፡ በተመሳሳይ ክስተት ውስጥ ያሉ ተቃራኒ ውጤቶች ላይ የተለያዩ የመደብ ገንዘቦችን በማስያዝ የተወሰነ ትርፍ ማግኘት ይችላሉ። በሂሳባዊ ስሌት መሰረት በዚህ የውርርድ አይነት ተወራራጆች ካስያዙት ገንዘብ መጠን ከ1 እስከ 3 በመቶ የሚደርስ ትርፍ ይገኛሉ።

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