Sure Wins – እርግጠኛ ውርርድ ማለት ምን ማለት ነው?

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Sure bets are terms used on betting worlds which are given for bets with guaranteed or high possibility of winning. Before we take off to look on sure bets characteristics, let see the two different theories behind sure bet.

Swansea City vs Manchester City
Manchester City wins

1.19

Celtic vs Falkirk
Celtic wins

1.21

FC Cologne vs Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich wins

1.22

MEAP Nisou vs Apollon
Apollon wins

1.22

Bolívar vs Aurora
Over 2.5

1.28

FC Cologne vs Bayern Munich
Over 2.5

1.30

Celtic vs Falkirk
Over 2.5

1.35

Inter Milan vs Fiorentina
Inter Milan wins

1.35

Petrojet vs Al Ahly
Al Ahly wins

1.36

Arsenal vs Brighton & Hove Albion
Arsenal wins

1.39

Bolívar vs Aurora
Bolívar wins

1.40

Bolívar vs Aurora
Both Team to Score

1.40

ES Sétif vs USM Alger
Under 2.5

1.40

Basel vs Zürich
Over 2.5

1.42

Illertissen vs Magdeburg
Magdeburg wins

1.42

Greuther Fürth vs Kaiserslautern
Both Team to Score

1.42

Paderborn vs Bayer Leverkusen
Over 2.5

1.44

AGF vs SønderjyskE
AGF wins

1.44

MEAP Nisou vs Apollon
Over 2.5

1.44

Lausanne Sport vs Servette
Both Team to Score

1.45

Juventus vs Udinese
Juventus wins

1.45

Tirana vs AF Elbasani
Under 2.5

1.45

Swansea City vs Manchester City
Over 2.5

1.45

Basel vs Zürich
Basel wins

1.48

Basel vs Zürich
Both Team to Score

1.48

Illertissen vs Magdeburg
Over 2.5

1.48

Mainz vs Stuttgart
Both Team to Score

1.48

Paderborn vs Bayer Leverkusen
Both Team to Score

1.48

Neman Grodno vs Dinamo Minsk
Under 2.5

1.48

Mjøndalen vs Stabæk
Over 2.5

1.50

Mjøndalen vs Stabæk
Both Team to Score

1.50

Greuther Fürth vs Kaiserslautern
Over 2.5

1.50

Darmstadt vs Schalke 04
Both Team to Score

1.50

Roma vs Parma
Roma wins

1.52

Fluminense vs Ceará
Fluminense wins

1.52

Komárno vs Slovan Bratislava
Both Team to Score

1.53

La Equidad vs Fortaleza CEIF
Under 2.5

1.53

Genoa vs Cremonese
Under 2.5

1.53

Spezia vs Calcio Padova
Under 2.5

1.53

Fredericia vs Viborg
Both Team to Score

1.53

Mjøndalen vs Stabæk
Stabæk wins

1.55

Komárno vs Slovan Bratislava
Over 2.5

1.55

Spartak Trnava vs FC Košice
Spartak Trnava wins

1.55

Liverpool vs Crystal Palace
Liverpool wins

1.55

ES Sétif vs USM Alger
Both Team not to Score

1.55

Como vs Verona
Como wins

1.56

Lausanne Sport vs Servette
Over 2.5

1.57

Hibernian vs Rangers
Both Team to Score

1.57

Dinamo City vs Partizani Tirana
Under 2.5

1.57

Arsenal vs Brighton & Hove Albion
Over 2.5

1.57

Liverpool vs Crystal Palace
Over 2.5

1.57

Paderborn vs Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen wins

1.60

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Freiburg
Both Team to Score

1.60

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Chelsea
Both Team to Score

1.60

Fluminense vs Ceará
Both Team not to Score

1.60

Fredericia vs Viborg
Over 2.5

1.61

Komárno vs Slovan Bratislava
Slovan Bratislava wins

1.62

Spartak Trnava vs FC Košice
Over 2.5

1.62

Spartak Trnava vs FC Košice
Both Team to Score

1.62

Motherwell vs Dundee United
Both Team to Score

1.62

Roma vs Parma
Both Team not to Score

1.62

Genoa vs Cremonese
Both Team not to Score

1.62

Petrojet vs Al Ahly
Both Team not to Score

1.62

Illertissen vs Magdeburg
Both Team to Score

1.62

Mainz vs Stuttgart
Over 2.5

1.62

Union Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld
Both Team to Score

1.62

FC Cologne vs Bayern Munich
Both Team to Score

1.62

Liverpool vs Crystal Palace
Both Team to Score

1.62

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Chelsea
Over 2.5

1.62

AGF vs SønderjyskE
Over 2.5

1.63

Bologna vs Torino
Under 2.5

1.65

Spezia vs Calcio Padova
Both Team not to Score

1.65

Darmstadt vs Schalke 04
Over 2.5

1.65

Fluminense vs Ceará
Under 2.5

1.65

Como vs Verona
Both Team not to Score

1.67

Beltinci vs Radomlje
Both Team to Score

1.67

Dinamo City vs Partizani Tirana
Both Team not to Score

1.69

Hibernian vs Rangers
Over 2.5

1.70

La Equidad vs Fortaleza CEIF
Both Team not to Score

1.70

Roma vs Parma
Under 2.5

1.70

Juventus vs Udinese
Both Team not to Score

1.70

Inter Milan vs Fiorentina
Over 2.5

1.70

Como vs Verona
Under 2.5

1.70

Tirana vs AF Elbasani
Both Team not to Score

1.70

Mantova vs Catanzaro
Both Team to Score

1.70

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Freiburg
Over 2.5

1.70

Union Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld
Over 2.5

1.70

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Chelsea
Chelsea wins

1.70

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen
Both Team to Score

1.73

Bologna vs Torino
Both Team not to Score

1.73

Inter Milan vs Fiorentina
Both Team not to Score

1.73

Venezia vs Südtirol
Venezia wins

1.73

Union Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld
Union Berlin wins

1.73

AGF vs SønderjyskE
Both Team to Score

1.73

Newcastle United vs Tottenham Hotspur
Newcastle United wins

1.73

Newcastle United vs Tottenham Hotspur
Both Team to Score

1.73

Beltinci vs Radomlje
Over 2.5

1.73

Swansea City vs Manchester City
Both Team not to Score

1.75

Neman Grodno vs Dinamo Minsk
Both Team not to Score

1.75

St. Mirren vs Hearts
Both Team to Score

1.77

Celtic vs Falkirk
Both Team to Score

1.77

Arsenal vs Brighton & Hove Albion
Both Team to Score

1.77

St. Mirren vs Hearts
Hearts wins

1.78

Bologna vs Torino
Bologna wins

1.78

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen
Under 2.5

1.80

Motherwell vs Dundee United
Over 2.5

1.80

Petrojet vs Al Ahly
Over 2.5

1.80

Mantova vs Catanzaro
Under 2.5

1.80

Newcastle United vs Tottenham Hotspur
Over 2.5

1.80

MEAP Nisou vs Apollon
Both Team to Score

1.80

The first one is Bets which have a great possibility of chance to win with a lot of indicating factors are called sure bets according to various on betting industry. This bets are claimed as sure bets after going on through analysis of factors involved on the matches like recent forms, head to head history, squad news, fixtures and so on. Even if this bets have very likely chance of winning regards to possibility they can’t be confirmed as hundred percent win due to the nature of unexpected occurrence on events once in a while.

The other sure bet definition is used to refer bets which guarantee winnings regardless to outcomes of the event. This bets are also called arbitrage. This bets work on principle of mathematical formula to secure profits on bet whatever the final score says. It depends on exploiting bookmakers’ odd calculation difference from site to site. Bookmakers set odds based on their data and analysis on the particular event and there are times where these bookies have different perspective on some events possible outcome. So betting experts sniff around various sites to find this mathematical breach and they use the opportunity to set up different bets on opposite outcomes of same event with calculated stakes to bring of a little bit profit or stake return.  According to research the profit margins for Sure bets range between 1 and 3 %.

እርግጠኛ ውርርድ ማለት ምን ማለት ነው?

እርግጠኛ ውርርድ የሚባሉት ውርርዶች የማሸነፍ ዋስትና ያላቸው ወይም ከፍተኛ የማሸነፍ ዕድል ያላቸው የውርርድ አይነቶች ሲሆኑ  ነው፡፡ ስለነዚህ ውርርዶች ባህሪያት ለማየት ከመነሳታችን በፊት፣ ከተረጋገጡ ውርርዶች በስተጀርባ ያሉትን ሁለት የተለያዩ ሐሳቦች እንመልከት።

የመጀመርያው የተረጋገጡ ውርርድ በመባል የሚታወቁት በብዙ ትንተናዎች እና እይታዎች መሰረት በጣም ከፍተኛ የማሸነፍ እድል የተሰጣቸው ውርርዶች  ናቸው ። እነዚህ ውርርዶች የተረጋገጠ የማሸነፍ ዕድል አላቸው ለማለት የሚረዱ ዕይታዎች ማለትም የተጋጣሚዎች ወቅታዊ አቋም፣ ያለፉ የእርስ በርስ ግጥሚያዎች ታሪክ ፣ የቡድን ዜናዎች፣ የቅርብ ጨዋታ መርሃግብሮች እና ሌሎችም ከላይ ያልተካተቱትን ሁኔታዎች በመተንተን የመሆን ዕድላቸው በጣም የሰፉ ግምቶችን መወራረድ ማለት ነው ። ምንም እንኳን እነዚህ ውርርዶች የማሸነፍ እድላቸው ምንም ያህል ከፍተኛ ቢሆንም እንኳ መቶ በመቶ የማሸነፍ ዕድል አላቸው ብሎ መደምደም አይቻልም፡፡ ምክንያቱ ደግሞ አንዳንድ ጊዜ በስፖርት ዓለም ውስጥ ከግምት ውጭ ያልተጠበቁ ነገሮች የመከሰት ዕድል ስላላቸው ነው።

ሌላኛው የተረጋገጠ ውርርድ ትርጉም የሚሰጠው የጨዋታው ውጤት ምንም ይሁን ምን የተወራራጆችን አሸናፊነትን ለሚያረጋግጥ የውርርድ አይነት ለማመልከት ነው። ይህ ውርርድ አርቢትሬጅ ተብሎም ይጠራል። በዚህ የውርርድ አይነት የመጨረሻው ውጤት ምንም ይሁን ምን በውርርድ ላይ ትርፍ ለማግኘት የሚሰላ የሂሳብ ቀመር የያዘ ነው። ይህ ስልት በተፎካካሪ የውርርድ ድርጅቶች መካከል የሚፈጠርን የኦድ ካልኩሌሽን ክፍተት በመጠቀም ላይ የተመሰረተ ነው፡፡ የውርርድ ድርጅቶች በአንድ የተወሰነ ክስተት ላይ ባላቸው መረጃ እና ትንታኔ ተመስርተው ኦዶችን ያዘጋጃሉ፡፡ ታዲያ በዚህ ስሌታቸው ውስጥ አንዳንድ ጊዜ ለተመሳሳይ ክስተቶች የተለያየ ዕይታ እና ግምት የሚያስቀምጡበት ጊዜ አለ።

እነዚህን መሰል ክፍተቶች ለመጠቀም የውርርድ ባለሙያዎች በተለያዩ  የውርርድ ድርጅት ድረ-ገጾች ላይ ካሰሱ በኋላ የሚያገኙትን ዕድል ተጠቅመው ትንሽ ትርፍ ወይም ያስያዙትን ገንዘብ ተመላሽ ለማድረግ የሚያስችል የውርርድ ቀመር ያዘጋጃሉ፡፡ በተመሳሳይ ክስተት ውስጥ ያሉ ተቃራኒ ውጤቶች ላይ የተለያዩ የመደብ ገንዘቦችን በማስያዝ የተወሰነ ትርፍ ማግኘት ይችላሉ። በሂሳባዊ ስሌት መሰረት በዚህ የውርርድ አይነት ተወራራጆች ካስያዙት ገንዘብ መጠን ከ1 እስከ 3 በመቶ የሚደርስ ትርፍ ይገኛሉ።

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