Sure Wins – እርግጠኛ ውርርድ ማለት ምን ማለት ነው?

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Sure bets are terms used on betting worlds which are given for bets with guaranteed or high possibility of winning. Before we take off to look on sure bets characteristics, let see the two different theories behind sure bet.

Belouizdad vs Khenchela
Belouizdad wins

1.22

Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon wins

1.25

Víkingur vs 07 Vestur
Víkingur wins

1.30

JBK vs GBK
Both Team to Score

1.33

Gimnasia Mendoza vs Defensa y Justicia
Under 2.5

1.38

Quilmes vs Chacarita Juniors
Under 2.5

1.38

JBK vs GBK
JBK wins

1.40

Almeria vs Mirandes
Almeria wins

1.44

HJK vs Lahti
HJK wins

1.44

Unión Magdalena vs Barranquilla
Unión Magdalena wins

1.44

JBK vs GBK
Over 2.5

1.44

Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria Guimaraes
Over 2.5

1.45

Al Ittihad vs Petrojet
Under 2.5

1.45

Víkingur vs 07 Vestur
Over 2.5

1.45

Almeria vs Mirandes
Over 2.5

1.48

Al Ittihad vs Al Kholood
Al Ittihad wins

1.48

Qarabag vs Turan
Qarabag wins

1.48

Al Ittihad vs Al Kholood
Over 2.5

1.50

Polonia Bytom vs Polonia Warszawa
Both Team to Score

1.50

Fylkir vs Vestri
Both Team to Score

1.50

Al Najma vs Muharraq
Muharraq wins

1.50

B36 vs NSÍ
Both Team to Score

1.50

Hassania Agadir vs Olympic Safi
Under 2.5

1.50

Al Ettifaq vs Al Najma
Al Ettifaq wins

1.53

Fylkir vs Vestri
Over 2.5

1.53

Belouizdad vs Khenchela
Both Team not to Score

1.53

Quilmes vs Chacarita Juniors
Both Team not to Score

1.53

Al Ettifaq vs Al Najma
Over 2.5

1.55

Gimnasia Mendoza vs Defensa y Justicia
Both Team not to Score

1.55

Midtjylland vs Viborg
Midtjylland wins

1.55

Midtjylland vs Viborg
Over 2.5

1.55

Yacoub El Mansour vs RSB Berkane
Under 2.5

1.55

Almeria vs Mirandes
Both Team to Score

1.57

Midtjylland vs Viborg
Both Team to Score

1.57

Hearts vs Rangers
Both Team to Score

1.57

Al Ittihad vs Al Kholood
Both Team to Score

1.60

Al Ettifaq vs Al Najma
Both Team to Score

1.60

Vélez Sarsfield vs Newell's Old Boys
Vélez Sarsfield wins

1.62

Vélez Sarsfield vs Newell's Old Boys
Under 2.5

1.62

Vélez Sarsfield vs Newell's Old Boys
Both Team not to Score

1.62

HJK vs Lahti
Over 2.5

1.62

Al Ittihad vs Petrojet
Both Team not to Score

1.62

Comunicaciones vs Ituzaingó
Under 2.5

1.62

Kawkab Marrakech vs Olympique Dcheïra
Under 2.5

1.62

Polonia Bytom vs Polonia Warszawa
Over 2.5

1.65

Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Jerusalem
Both Team to Score

1.65

Vila Nova vs Athletic Club
Under 2.5

1.65

Djurgården vs IFK Göteborg
Djurgården wins

1.65

Comunicaciones vs Ituzaingó
Both Team not to Score

1.65

Roma vs Fiorentina
Roma wins

1.66

Cremonese vs Lazio
Under 2.5

1.67

Wadi Degla vs Kahraba Ismailia
Under 2.5

1.67

B36 vs NSÍ
Over 2.5

1.67

Víkingur vs 07 Vestur
Both Team to Score

1.67

Yacoub El Mansour vs RSB Berkane
Both Team not to Score

1.67

Kawkab Marrakech vs Olympique Dcheïra
Both Team not to Score

1.67

Hebar 1918 vs Ludogorets II
Both Team to Score

1.69

Hearts vs Rangers
Over 2.5

1.70

Istra 1961 vs Slaven Koprivnica
Both Team to Score

1.70

Bnei Sakhnin vs Maccabi Bnei Raina
Under 2.5

1.70

Belouizdad vs Khenchela
Over 2.5

1.70

Envigado vs Internacional Palmira
Under 2.5

1.70

Unión Magdalena vs Barranquilla
Over 2.5

1.70

Comunicaciones vs Ituzaingó
Comunicaciones wins

1.70

Al Hidd vs A'Ali
Under 2.5

1.70

Al Jazeera vs Shabab Al Ordon
Under 2.5

1.70

Hassania Agadir vs Olympic Safi
Both Team not to Score

1.70

Sevilla vs Real Sociedad
Both Team to Score

1.73

Fylkir vs Vestri
Fylkir wins

1.73

HJK vs Lahti
Both Team to Score

1.73

Vila Nova vs Athletic Club
Both Team not to Score

1.73

Wadi Degla vs Kahraba Ismailia
Both Team not to Score

1.73

Djurgården vs IFK Göteborg
Both Team to Score

1.73

Halmstad vs Brommapojkarna
Both Team to Score

1.73

Qarabag vs Turan
Both Team not to Score

1.73

Al Najma vs Muharraq
Over 2.5

1.73

Al Ahli vs Al Buqa'a
Both Team to Score

1.73

Wadi Degla vs Kahraba Ismailia
Wadi Degla wins

1.74

Al Fayha vs Al Riyadh
Under 2.5

1.75

Istra 1961 vs Slaven Koprivnica
Under 2.5

1.75

Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Jerusalem
Over 2.5

1.75

Al Jazeera vs Shabab Al Ordon
Both Team to Score

1.75

Hebar 1918 vs Ludogorets II
Hebar 1918 wins

1.76

Al Fayha vs Al Riyadh
Both Team to Score

1.77

Kawkab Marrakech vs Olympique Dcheïra
Kawkab Marrakech wins

1.77

Hebar 1918 vs Ludogorets II
Over 2.5

1.79

Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria Guimaraes
Both Team to Score

1.80

Bnei Sakhnin vs Maccabi Bnei Raina
Both Team not to Score

1.80

Vila Nova vs Athletic Club
Vila Nova wins

1.80

Envigado vs Internacional Palmira
Both Team to Score

1.80

Unión Magdalena vs Barranquilla
Both Team not to Score

1.80

Los Chankas vs Deportivo Garcilaso
Under 2.5

1.80

Los Chankas vs Deportivo Garcilaso
Both Team to Score

1.80

Al Hidd vs A'Ali
Both Team to Score

1.80

Al Najma vs Muharraq
Both Team to Score

1.80

The first one is Bets which have a great possibility of chance to win with a lot of indicating factors are called sure bets according to various on betting industry. This bets are claimed as sure bets after going on through analysis of factors involved on the matches like recent forms, head to head history, squad news, fixtures and so on. Even if this bets have very likely chance of winning regards to possibility they can’t be confirmed as hundred percent win due to the nature of unexpected occurrence on events once in a while.

The other sure bet definition is used to refer bets which guarantee winnings regardless to outcomes of the event. This bets are also called arbitrage. This bets work on principle of mathematical formula to secure profits on bet whatever the final score says. It depends on exploiting bookmakers’ odd calculation difference from site to site. Bookmakers set odds based on their data and analysis on the particular event and there are times where these bookies have different perspective on some events possible outcome. So betting experts sniff around various sites to find this mathematical breach and they use the opportunity to set up different bets on opposite outcomes of same event with calculated stakes to bring of a little bit profit or stake return.  According to research the profit margins for Sure bets range between 1 and 3 %.

እርግጠኛ ውርርድ ማለት ምን ማለት ነው?

እርግጠኛ ውርርድ የሚባሉት ውርርዶች የማሸነፍ ዋስትና ያላቸው ወይም ከፍተኛ የማሸነፍ ዕድል ያላቸው የውርርድ አይነቶች ሲሆኑ  ነው፡፡ ስለነዚህ ውርርዶች ባህሪያት ለማየት ከመነሳታችን በፊት፣ ከተረጋገጡ ውርርዶች በስተጀርባ ያሉትን ሁለት የተለያዩ ሐሳቦች እንመልከት።

የመጀመርያው የተረጋገጡ ውርርድ በመባል የሚታወቁት በብዙ ትንተናዎች እና እይታዎች መሰረት በጣም ከፍተኛ የማሸነፍ እድል የተሰጣቸው ውርርዶች  ናቸው ። እነዚህ ውርርዶች የተረጋገጠ የማሸነፍ ዕድል አላቸው ለማለት የሚረዱ ዕይታዎች ማለትም የተጋጣሚዎች ወቅታዊ አቋም፣ ያለፉ የእርስ በርስ ግጥሚያዎች ታሪክ ፣ የቡድን ዜናዎች፣ የቅርብ ጨዋታ መርሃግብሮች እና ሌሎችም ከላይ ያልተካተቱትን ሁኔታዎች በመተንተን የመሆን ዕድላቸው በጣም የሰፉ ግምቶችን መወራረድ ማለት ነው ። ምንም እንኳን እነዚህ ውርርዶች የማሸነፍ እድላቸው ምንም ያህል ከፍተኛ ቢሆንም እንኳ መቶ በመቶ የማሸነፍ ዕድል አላቸው ብሎ መደምደም አይቻልም፡፡ ምክንያቱ ደግሞ አንዳንድ ጊዜ በስፖርት ዓለም ውስጥ ከግምት ውጭ ያልተጠበቁ ነገሮች የመከሰት ዕድል ስላላቸው ነው።

ሌላኛው የተረጋገጠ ውርርድ ትርጉም የሚሰጠው የጨዋታው ውጤት ምንም ይሁን ምን የተወራራጆችን አሸናፊነትን ለሚያረጋግጥ የውርርድ አይነት ለማመልከት ነው። ይህ ውርርድ አርቢትሬጅ ተብሎም ይጠራል። በዚህ የውርርድ አይነት የመጨረሻው ውጤት ምንም ይሁን ምን በውርርድ ላይ ትርፍ ለማግኘት የሚሰላ የሂሳብ ቀመር የያዘ ነው። ይህ ስልት በተፎካካሪ የውርርድ ድርጅቶች መካከል የሚፈጠርን የኦድ ካልኩሌሽን ክፍተት በመጠቀም ላይ የተመሰረተ ነው፡፡ የውርርድ ድርጅቶች በአንድ የተወሰነ ክስተት ላይ ባላቸው መረጃ እና ትንታኔ ተመስርተው ኦዶችን ያዘጋጃሉ፡፡ ታዲያ በዚህ ስሌታቸው ውስጥ አንዳንድ ጊዜ ለተመሳሳይ ክስተቶች የተለያየ ዕይታ እና ግምት የሚያስቀምጡበት ጊዜ አለ።

እነዚህን መሰል ክፍተቶች ለመጠቀም የውርርድ ባለሙያዎች በተለያዩ  የውርርድ ድርጅት ድረ-ገጾች ላይ ካሰሱ በኋላ የሚያገኙትን ዕድል ተጠቅመው ትንሽ ትርፍ ወይም ያስያዙትን ገንዘብ ተመላሽ ለማድረግ የሚያስችል የውርርድ ቀመር ያዘጋጃሉ፡፡ በተመሳሳይ ክስተት ውስጥ ያሉ ተቃራኒ ውጤቶች ላይ የተለያዩ የመደብ ገንዘቦችን በማስያዝ የተወሰነ ትርፍ ማግኘት ይችላሉ። በሂሳባዊ ስሌት መሰረት በዚህ የውርርድ አይነት ተወራራጆች ካስያዙት ገንዘብ መጠን ከ1 እስከ 3 በመቶ የሚደርስ ትርፍ ይገኛሉ።

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