Sure Wins – እርግጠኛ ውርርድ ማለት ምን ማለት ነው?

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Sure bets are terms used on betting worlds which are given for bets with guaranteed or high possibility of winning. Before we take off to look on sure bets characteristics, let see the two different theories behind sure bet.

Astana vs Okzhetpes
Astana wins

1.25

OLS vs Inter Turku II
Over 2.5

1.26

Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Garcilaso
Sporting Cristal wins

1.28

OLS vs Inter Turku II
Both Team to Score

1.28

Alvarado vs Colegiales
Under 2.5

1.31

Zenit Penza vs SKA Khabarovsk II
Zenit Penza wins

1.32

Defensores Unidos vs Mitre Santiago d. Estero
Under 2.5

1.33

All Boys vs Arsenal
Under 2.5

1.34

Deportivo Madryn vs Atlanta
Under 2.5

1.36

Deportivo Laferrere vs Sportivo Italiano
Under 2.5

1.36

Bolívar vs Always Ready
Over 2.5

1.36

Bolívar vs Always Ready
Both Team to Score

1.36

Club Atlético Güemes vs Ferro Carril Oeste
Under 2.5

1.38

Fénix vs Midland
Under 2.5

1.38

Fénix vs Midland
Both Team not to Score

1.38

Patronato vs Los Andes
Under 2.5

1.40

Dinamo Vologda vs Luki-Energiya
Dinamo Vologda wins

1.40

Fram vs FH
Both Team to Score

1.41

Comunicaciones vs Real Pilar
Under 2.5

1.42

Afturelding vs ÍA
Both Team to Score

1.42

San Telmo vs Nueva Chicago
Under 2.5

1.43

Strogino vs Kvant
Strogino wins

1.43

Deportivo Madryn vs Atlanta
Both Team not to Score

1.44

Fram vs FH
Over 2.5

1.44

Atlético Goianiense vs Coritiba
Under 2.5

1.44

Strogino vs Kvant
Over 2.5

1.44

Oriente Petrolero vs Jorge Wilstermann
Oriente Petrolero wins

1.44

Zenit Penza vs SKA Khabarovsk II
Over 2.5

1.45

Alvarado vs Colegiales
Both Team not to Score

1.46

All Boys vs Arsenal
Both Team not to Score

1.46

Afturelding vs ÍA
Over 2.5

1.46

Defensores Unidos vs Mitre Santiago d. Estero
Both Team not to Score

1.47

Novorizontino vs Cuiabá
Under 2.5

1.47

Delfin vs Mushuc Runa
Under 2.5

1.50

Egersund vs Ranheim
Both Team to Score

1.50

Criciúma vs Amazonas
Under 2.5

1.50

Znamya Truda vs Salyut-Belgorod
Both Team to Score

1.50

Patronato vs Los Andes
Both Team not to Score

1.51

ÍBV vs Breidablik
Both Team to Score

1.51

Independiente Medellín vs Deportes Tolima
Under 2.5

1.51

ÍBV vs Breidablik
Over 2.5

1.52

Club Atlético Güemes vs Ferro Carril Oeste
Both Team not to Score

1.53

Deportivo Laferrere vs Sportivo Italiano
Both Team not to Score

1.53

Egersund vs Ranheim
Over 2.5

1.53

MP vs Tampere United
Both Team to Score

1.53

Bodø / Glimt vs AIK
Over 2.5

1.53

Bodø / Glimt vs AIK
Both Team to Score

1.53

Rubin Kazan' II vs Amkar Perm
Both Team to Score

1.54

Mjøndalen vs Moss
Both Team to Score

1.55

Criciúma vs Amazonas
Both Team not to Score

1.55

Fénix vs Midland
Midland wins

1.57

Técnico Universitario vs Aucas
Under 2.5

1.57

Ayacucho vs Universitario
Universitario wins

1.57

Aalesund vs Stabæk
Both Team to Score

1.57

Astana vs Okzhetpes
Both Team not to Score

1.57

Independiente Medellín vs Deportes Tolima
Both Team not to Score

1.57

Oriente Petrolero vs Jorge Wilstermann
Over 2.5

1.57

San Telmo vs Nueva Chicago
Both Team not to Score

1.58

Atlético Goianiense vs Coritiba
Both Team not to Score

1.58

Novorizontino vs Cuiabá
Both Team not to Score

1.58

Strogino vs Kvant
Both Team to Score

1.58

MP vs Tampere United
Over 2.5

1.58

Znamya Truda vs Salyut-Belgorod
Over 2.5

1.58

Comunicaciones vs Real Pilar
Both Team not to Score

1.60

Delfin vs Mushuc Runa
Both Team not to Score

1.60

O'Higgins vs Unión Española
Both Team to Score

1.60

Deportivo Binacional vs Alianza Universidad
Both Team to Score

1.61

Mjøndalen vs Moss
Over 2.5

1.61

Nõmme Kalju vs Trans
Both Team to Score

1.61

Åsane vs Skeid
Åsane wins

1.62

Aalesund vs Stabæk
Over 2.5

1.62

Sampdoria vs Salernitana
Under 2.5

1.62

Raufoss vs Odd
Both Team to Score

1.63

Nõmme Kalju vs Trans
Over 2.5

1.63

Vitebsk vs Smorgon
Vitebsk wins

1.63

Ordabasy vs Yelimay Semey
Under 2.5

1.64

Vestri vs KA
Both Team to Score

1.65

Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Garcilaso
Over 2.5

1.65

Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Garcilaso
Both Team not to Score

1.65

Astana vs Okzhetpes
Over 2.5

1.65

Ryazan vs Dinamo St. Petersburg
Under 2.5

1.65

Rubin Kazan' II vs Amkar Perm
Over 2.5

1.65

Oriente Petrolero vs Jorge Wilstermann
Both Team to Score

1.65

O'Higgins vs Unión Española
Over 2.5

1.66

Åsane vs Skeid
Over 2.5

1.66

Rodina Moskva III vs Metallurg Lipetsk
Both Team to Score

1.66

Bolívar vs Always Ready
Bolívar wins

1.67

Deportivo Binacional vs Alianza Universidad
Over 2.5

1.68

Ayacucho vs Universitario
Both Team not to Score

1.68

Vitebsk vs Smorgon
Under 2.5

1.68

Vitebsk vs Smorgon
Both Team not to Score

1.68

Isloch vs ML Rogachev
ML Rogachev wins

1.68

Zenit Penza vs SKA Khabarovsk II
Both Team to Score

1.70

Coquimbo Unido vs Universidad de Chile
Under 2.5

1.71

Raufoss vs Odd
Over 2.5

1.71

Åsane vs Skeid
Both Team to Score

1.71

Ayacucho vs Universitario
Under 2.5

1.72

Kaisar vs Tobol
Under 2.5

1.72

Criciúma vs Amazonas
Criciúma wins

1.72

Isloch vs ML Rogachev
Under 2.5

1.73

Independiente Medellín vs Deportes Tolima
Independiente Medellín wins

1.73

Técnico Universitario vs Aucas
Both Team not to Score

1.75

Dinamo Vologda vs Luki-Energiya
Over 2.5

1.75

Vestri vs KA
Over 2.5

1.77

Isloch vs ML Rogachev
Both Team not to Score

1.77

Sampdoria vs Salernitana
Both Team not to Score

1.77

Dinamo Vologda vs Luki-Energiya
Both Team not to Score

1.77

Bodø / Glimt vs AIK
Bodø / Glimt wins

1.78

Coquimbo Unido vs Universidad de Chile
Both Team to Score

1.80

Nõmme Kalju vs Trans
Nõmme Kalju wins

1.80

The first one is Bets which have a great possibility of chance to win with a lot of indicating factors are called sure bets according to various on betting industry. This bets are claimed as sure bets after going on through analysis of factors involved on the matches like recent forms, head to head history, squad news, fixtures and so on. Even if this bets have very likely chance of winning regards to possibility they can’t be confirmed as hundred percent win due to the nature of unexpected occurrence on events once in a while.

The other sure bet definition is used to refer bets which guarantee winnings regardless to outcomes of the event. This bets are also called arbitrage. This bets work on principle of mathematical formula to secure profits on bet whatever the final score says. It depends on exploiting bookmakers’ odd calculation difference from site to site. Bookmakers set odds based on their data and analysis on the particular event and there are times where these bookies have different perspective on some events possible outcome. So betting experts sniff around various sites to find this mathematical breach and they use the opportunity to set up different bets on opposite outcomes of same event with calculated stakes to bring of a little bit profit or stake return.  According to research the profit margins for Sure bets range between 1 and 3 %.

እርግጠኛ ውርርድ ማለት ምን ማለት ነው?

እርግጠኛ ውርርድ የሚባሉት ውርርዶች የማሸነፍ ዋስትና ያላቸው ወይም ከፍተኛ የማሸነፍ ዕድል ያላቸው የውርርድ አይነቶች ሲሆኑ  ነው፡፡ ስለነዚህ ውርርዶች ባህሪያት ለማየት ከመነሳታችን በፊት፣ ከተረጋገጡ ውርርዶች በስተጀርባ ያሉትን ሁለት የተለያዩ ሐሳቦች እንመልከት።

የመጀመርያው የተረጋገጡ ውርርድ በመባል የሚታወቁት በብዙ ትንተናዎች እና እይታዎች መሰረት በጣም ከፍተኛ የማሸነፍ እድል የተሰጣቸው ውርርዶች  ናቸው ። እነዚህ ውርርዶች የተረጋገጠ የማሸነፍ ዕድል አላቸው ለማለት የሚረዱ ዕይታዎች ማለትም የተጋጣሚዎች ወቅታዊ አቋም፣ ያለፉ የእርስ በርስ ግጥሚያዎች ታሪክ ፣ የቡድን ዜናዎች፣ የቅርብ ጨዋታ መርሃግብሮች እና ሌሎችም ከላይ ያልተካተቱትን ሁኔታዎች በመተንተን የመሆን ዕድላቸው በጣም የሰፉ ግምቶችን መወራረድ ማለት ነው ። ምንም እንኳን እነዚህ ውርርዶች የማሸነፍ እድላቸው ምንም ያህል ከፍተኛ ቢሆንም እንኳ መቶ በመቶ የማሸነፍ ዕድል አላቸው ብሎ መደምደም አይቻልም፡፡ ምክንያቱ ደግሞ አንዳንድ ጊዜ በስፖርት ዓለም ውስጥ ከግምት ውጭ ያልተጠበቁ ነገሮች የመከሰት ዕድል ስላላቸው ነው።

ሌላኛው የተረጋገጠ ውርርድ ትርጉም የሚሰጠው የጨዋታው ውጤት ምንም ይሁን ምን የተወራራጆችን አሸናፊነትን ለሚያረጋግጥ የውርርድ አይነት ለማመልከት ነው። ይህ ውርርድ አርቢትሬጅ ተብሎም ይጠራል። በዚህ የውርርድ አይነት የመጨረሻው ውጤት ምንም ይሁን ምን በውርርድ ላይ ትርፍ ለማግኘት የሚሰላ የሂሳብ ቀመር የያዘ ነው። ይህ ስልት በተፎካካሪ የውርርድ ድርጅቶች መካከል የሚፈጠርን የኦድ ካልኩሌሽን ክፍተት በመጠቀም ላይ የተመሰረተ ነው፡፡ የውርርድ ድርጅቶች በአንድ የተወሰነ ክስተት ላይ ባላቸው መረጃ እና ትንታኔ ተመስርተው ኦዶችን ያዘጋጃሉ፡፡ ታዲያ በዚህ ስሌታቸው ውስጥ አንዳንድ ጊዜ ለተመሳሳይ ክስተቶች የተለያየ ዕይታ እና ግምት የሚያስቀምጡበት ጊዜ አለ።

እነዚህን መሰል ክፍተቶች ለመጠቀም የውርርድ ባለሙያዎች በተለያዩ  የውርርድ ድርጅት ድረ-ገጾች ላይ ካሰሱ በኋላ የሚያገኙትን ዕድል ተጠቅመው ትንሽ ትርፍ ወይም ያስያዙትን ገንዘብ ተመላሽ ለማድረግ የሚያስችል የውርርድ ቀመር ያዘጋጃሉ፡፡ በተመሳሳይ ክስተት ውስጥ ያሉ ተቃራኒ ውጤቶች ላይ የተለያዩ የመደብ ገንዘቦችን በማስያዝ የተወሰነ ትርፍ ማግኘት ይችላሉ። በሂሳባዊ ስሌት መሰረት በዚህ የውርርድ አይነት ተወራራጆች ካስያዙት ገንዘብ መጠን ከ1 እስከ 3 በመቶ የሚደርስ ትርፍ ይገኛሉ።

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