Sure Wins – እርግጠኛ ውርርድ ማለት ምን ማለት ነው?

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Sure bets are terms used on betting worlds which are given for bets with guaranteed or high possibility of winning. Before we take off to look on sure bets characteristics, let see the two different theories behind sure bet.

Real Tomayapo vs Atlético Palmaflor
Real Tomayapo wins

1.11

Sporting Lisbon vs Gil Vicente
Sporting Lisbon wins

1.18

AFC Wimbledon vs Ramsgate
AFC Wimbledon wins

1.20

Noah vs Van
Noah wins

1.21

PAOK vs Lamia
PAOK wins

1.22

Qarabag vs Qəbələ
Qarabag wins

1.23

Septemvri Sofia vs Ludogorets II
Septemvri Sofia wins

1.33

Zvijezda 09 vs Zrinjski
Zrinjski wins

1.34

Real Tomayapo vs Atlético Palmaflor
Over 2.5

1.34

AEK Athens vs Aris
AEK Athens wins

1.38

Bali United vs Arema
Bali United wins

1.39

Sporting Lisbon vs Gil Vicente
Over 2.5

1.39

Slaven Koprivnica vs Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb wins

1.40

BKMA vs Urartu
Urartu wins

1.42

Macarthur vs Adelaide United
Both Team to Score

1.44

AFC Wimbledon vs Ramsgate
Over 2.5

1.44

PAOK vs Lamia
Both Team not to Score

1.46

De Graafschap vs Dordrecht
Over 2.5

1.46

De Graafschap vs Dordrecht
Both Team to Score

1.46

Mornar vs Jezero
Under 2.5

1.47

Macarthur vs Adelaide United
Over 2.5

1.47

Bali United vs Arema
Over 2.5

1.49

Bdin vs Chernomorets Burgas
Under 2.5

1.50

Smouha vs Pharco
Under 2.5

1.51

Midtjylland vs Viborg
Midtjylland wins

1.55

Persib vs PSM
Persib wins

1.55

Zvijezda 09 vs Zrinjski
Over 2.5

1.57

Qarabag vs Qəbələ
Both Team not to Score

1.58

Persib vs PSM
Over 2.5

1.58

Utrecht II vs Telstar
Both Team to Score

1.58

Slaven Koprivnica vs Dinamo Zagreb
Both Team not to Score

1.60

Montana vs Marek
Montana wins

1.60

Celta Vigo vs Cadiz
Celta Vigo wins

1.60

Hai Phong vs Công An Nhân Dân
Under 2.5

1.60

Martigues vs Niort
Under 2.5

1.61

BKMA vs Urartu
Over 2.5

1.61

AEL vs Aris
Aris wins

1.62

Leopards vs Tusker
Under 2.5

1.62

Qarabag vs Qəbələ
Over 2.5

1.62

Torino vs Atalanta
Under 2.5

1.63

Real Tomayapo vs Atlético Palmaflor
Both Team not to Score

1.63

AFC Wimbledon vs Ramsgate
Both Team not to Score

1.65

Mornar vs Jezero
Both Team not to Score

1.65

Midtjylland vs Viborg
Over 2.5

1.65

Montana vs Marek
Under 2.5

1.65

Persib vs PSM
Both Team to Score

1.66

Utrecht II vs Telstar
Over 2.5

1.66

Smouha vs Pharco
Both Team not to Score

1.66

Zorya vs Rukh Vynnyky
Both Team to Score

1.66

Montana vs Marek
Both Team not to Score

1.67

Bali United vs Arema
Both Team to Score

1.68

Pogoń Siedlce vs Stomil Olsztyn
Both Team to Score

1.68

Bdin vs Chernomorets Burgas
Both Team not to Score

1.68

PAOK vs Lamia
Over 2.5

1.68

Celta Vigo vs Cadiz
Both Team not to Score

1.70

Sporting Lisbon vs Gil Vicente
Both Team not to Score

1.70

AEK Athens vs Aris
Over 2.5

1.70

AEK Athens vs Aris
Both Team not to Score

1.70

Martigues vs Niort
Both Team not to Score

1.71

Dinamo Moscow vs Rubin Kazan
Both Team to Score

1.72

AEL vs Aris
Both Team to Score

1.73

Villarreal II vs Eibar
Both Team to Score

1.73

Midtjylland vs Viborg
Both Team to Score

1.75

Pogoń Siedlce vs Stomil Olsztyn
Over 2.5

1.75

Noah vs Van
Both Team not to Score

1.77

Celta Vigo vs Cadiz
Under 2.5

1.77

Hai Phong vs Công An Nhân Dân
Both Team not to Score

1.77

Pogoń Siedlce vs Stomil Olsztyn
Pogoń Siedlce wins

1.78

Septemvri Sofia vs Ludogorets II
Over 2.5

1.80

Dinamo Moscow vs Rubin Kazan
Dinamo Moscow wins

1.80

Zorya vs Rukh Vynnyky
Over 2.5

1.80

BKMA vs Urartu
Both Team to Score

1.80

Torino vs Atalanta
Both Team not to Score

1.80

The first one is Bets which have a great possibility of chance to win with a lot of indicating factors are called sure bets according to various on betting industry. This bets are claimed as sure bets after going on through analysis of factors involved on the matches like recent forms, head to head history, squad news, fixtures and so on. Even if this bets have very likely chance of winning regards to possibility they can’t be confirmed as hundred percent win due to the nature of unexpected occurrence on events once in a while.

The other sure bet definition is used to refer bets which guarantee winnings regardless to outcomes of the event. This bets are also called arbitrage. This bets work on principle of mathematical formula to secure profits on bet whatever the final score says. It depends on exploiting bookmakers’ odd calculation difference from site to site. Bookmakers set odds based on their data and analysis on the particular event and there are times where these bookies have different perspective on some events possible outcome. So betting experts sniff around various sites to find this mathematical breach and they use the opportunity to set up different bets on opposite outcomes of same event with calculated stakes to bring of a little bit profit or stake return.  According to research the profit margins for Sure bets range between 1 and 3 %.

እርግጠኛ ውርርድ ማለት ምን ማለት ነው?

እርግጠኛ ውርርድ የሚባሉት ውርርዶች የማሸነፍ ዋስትና ያላቸው ወይም ከፍተኛ የማሸነፍ ዕድል ያላቸው የውርርድ አይነቶች ሲሆኑ  ነው፡፡ ስለነዚህ ውርርዶች ባህሪያት ለማየት ከመነሳታችን በፊት፣ ከተረጋገጡ ውርርዶች በስተጀርባ ያሉትን ሁለት የተለያዩ ሐሳቦች እንመልከት።

የመጀመርያው የተረጋገጡ ውርርድ በመባል የሚታወቁት በብዙ ትንተናዎች እና እይታዎች መሰረት በጣም ከፍተኛ የማሸነፍ እድል የተሰጣቸው ውርርዶች  ናቸው ። እነዚህ ውርርዶች የተረጋገጠ የማሸነፍ ዕድል አላቸው ለማለት የሚረዱ ዕይታዎች ማለትም የተጋጣሚዎች ወቅታዊ አቋም፣ ያለፉ የእርስ በርስ ግጥሚያዎች ታሪክ ፣ የቡድን ዜናዎች፣ የቅርብ ጨዋታ መርሃግብሮች እና ሌሎችም ከላይ ያልተካተቱትን ሁኔታዎች በመተንተን የመሆን ዕድላቸው በጣም የሰፉ ግምቶችን መወራረድ ማለት ነው ። ምንም እንኳን እነዚህ ውርርዶች የማሸነፍ እድላቸው ምንም ያህል ከፍተኛ ቢሆንም እንኳ መቶ በመቶ የማሸነፍ ዕድል አላቸው ብሎ መደምደም አይቻልም፡፡ ምክንያቱ ደግሞ አንዳንድ ጊዜ በስፖርት ዓለም ውስጥ ከግምት ውጭ ያልተጠበቁ ነገሮች የመከሰት ዕድል ስላላቸው ነው።

ሌላኛው የተረጋገጠ ውርርድ ትርጉም የሚሰጠው የጨዋታው ውጤት ምንም ይሁን ምን የተወራራጆችን አሸናፊነትን ለሚያረጋግጥ የውርርድ አይነት ለማመልከት ነው። ይህ ውርርድ አርቢትሬጅ ተብሎም ይጠራል። በዚህ የውርርድ አይነት የመጨረሻው ውጤት ምንም ይሁን ምን በውርርድ ላይ ትርፍ ለማግኘት የሚሰላ የሂሳብ ቀመር የያዘ ነው። ይህ ስልት በተፎካካሪ የውርርድ ድርጅቶች መካከል የሚፈጠርን የኦድ ካልኩሌሽን ክፍተት በመጠቀም ላይ የተመሰረተ ነው፡፡ የውርርድ ድርጅቶች በአንድ የተወሰነ ክስተት ላይ ባላቸው መረጃ እና ትንታኔ ተመስርተው ኦዶችን ያዘጋጃሉ፡፡ ታዲያ በዚህ ስሌታቸው ውስጥ አንዳንድ ጊዜ ለተመሳሳይ ክስተቶች የተለያየ ዕይታ እና ግምት የሚያስቀምጡበት ጊዜ አለ።

እነዚህን መሰል ክፍተቶች ለመጠቀም የውርርድ ባለሙያዎች በተለያዩ  የውርርድ ድርጅት ድረ-ገጾች ላይ ካሰሱ በኋላ የሚያገኙትን ዕድል ተጠቅመው ትንሽ ትርፍ ወይም ያስያዙትን ገንዘብ ተመላሽ ለማድረግ የሚያስችል የውርርድ ቀመር ያዘጋጃሉ፡፡ በተመሳሳይ ክስተት ውስጥ ያሉ ተቃራኒ ውጤቶች ላይ የተለያዩ የመደብ ገንዘቦችን በማስያዝ የተወሰነ ትርፍ ማግኘት ይችላሉ። በሂሳባዊ ስሌት መሰረት በዚህ የውርርድ አይነት ተወራራጆች ካስያዙት ገንዘብ መጠን ከ1 እስከ 3 በመቶ የሚደርስ ትርፍ ይገኛሉ።

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