Sure Wins – እርግጠኛ ውርርድ ማለት ምን ማለት ነው?

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Sure bets are terms used on betting worlds which are given for bets with guaranteed or high possibility of winning. Before we take off to look on sure bets characteristics, let see the two different theories behind sure bet.

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Heracles vs Utrecht II
Heracles wins

1.33

Malaga vs Real Oviedo
Under 2.5

1.36

Athletic Bilbao vs Cadiz
Athletic Bilbao wins

1.43

Caracas vs Carabobo
Under 2.5

1.44

Nîmes vs Grenoble Foot 38
Under 2.5

1.46

Willem II vs Helmond Sport
Willem II wins

1.46

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Heracles vs Utrecht II
Over 2.5

1.47

Caen vs Bastia
Under 2.5

1.49

Newell's Old Boys vs Vélez Sarsfield
Under 2.5

1.49

Deportivo Pereira vs Atlético Huila
Deportivo Pereira wins

1.49

Le Havre vs Paris FC
Under 2.5

1.50

Malaga vs Real Oviedo
Both Team not to Score

1.51

KRC Genk II vs Waasland-Beveren
Over 2.5

1.52

Rodez vs Sochaux
Under 2.5

1.55

Tapatío vs Celaya
Under 2.5

1.55

RSC Anderlecht II vs Lommel
Both Team to Score

1.55

Athletic Bilbao vs Cadiz
Both Team not to Score

1.55

KRC Genk II vs Waasland-Beveren
Both Team to Score

1.57

Quevilly Rouen vs Guingamp
Under 2.5

1.57

Tacuary vs Guaireña
Under 2.5

1.60

Valenciennes vs Laval
Under 2.5

1.60

Caracas vs Carabobo
Both Team not to Score

1.61

Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen
Both Team to Score

1.61

Puskas vs Vasas
Puskas wins

1.61

Le Havre vs Paris FC
Both Team not to Score

1.61

TOP Oss vs Den Bosch
Both Team to Score

1.62

Caen vs Bastia
Both Team not to Score

1.62

Deportivo Pereira vs Atlético Huila
Both Team not to Score

1.62

Dijon vs Niort
Under 2.5

1.62

AZ II vs VVV
Both Team to Score

1.62

Modena vs Cagliari
Under 2.5

1.63

KRC Genk II vs Waasland-Beveren
Waasland-Beveren wins

1.63

Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen
Over 2.5

1.63

RSC Anderlecht II vs Lommel
Over 2.5

1.63

Nîmes vs Grenoble Foot 38
Both Team not to Score

1.65

ADO Den Haag vs NAC Breda
Both Team to Score

1.65

Newell's Old Boys vs Vélez Sarsfield
Both Team not to Score

1.65

Santos de Guápiles vs Municipal Grecia
Both Team to Score

1.66

Tigre vs Rosario Central
Under 2.5

1.66

Pau vs Bordeaux
Under 2.5

1.66

KV Oostende vs Anderlecht
Both Team to Score

1.66

Zamora vs Hermanos Colmenárez
Zamora wins

1.66

De Graafschap vs Telstar
De Graafschap wins

1.68

Dijon vs Niort
Both Team not to Score

1.70

Rodez vs Sochaux
Both Team not to Score

1.70

Dordrecht vs Eindhoven
Both Team to Score

1.70

AZ II vs VVV
Over 2.5

1.70

Zamora vs Hermanos Colmenárez
Under 2.5

1.70

Almere City vs PSV II
Almere City wins

1.71

Tigre vs Rosario Central
Both Team not to Score

1.71

Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam
Under 2.5

1.72

Deportivo Pereira vs Atlético Huila
Under 2.5

1.72

Zamora vs Hermanos Colmenárez
Both Team not to Score

1.72

ADO Den Haag vs NAC Breda
Over 2.5

1.73

Almere City vs PSV II
Over 2.5

1.73

Almere City vs PSV II
Both Team to Score

1.73

Tapatío vs Celaya
Both Team not to Score

1.73

Quevilly Rouen vs Guingamp
Both Team not to Score

1.73

KV Oostende vs Anderlecht
Over 2.5

1.73

De Graafschap vs Telstar
Over 2.5

1.73

De Graafschap vs Telstar
Both Team to Score

1.73

Athletic Bilbao vs Cadiz
Under 2.5

1.75

Tigre vs Rosario Central
Tigre wins

1.75

TOP Oss vs Den Bosch
Over 2.5

1.75

Curicó Unido vs Audax Italiano
Both Team to Score

1.75

Willem II vs Helmond Sport
Over 2.5

1.75

Heracles vs Utrecht II
Both Team to Score

1.77

Willem II vs Helmond Sport
Both Team not to Score

1.77

Coquimbo Unido vs Universidad Católica
Under 2.5

1.77

Club Guaraní vs Sportivo Ameliano
Under 2.5

1.77

Club Guaraní vs Sportivo Ameliano
Both Team to Score

1.78

Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen wins

1.78

West Bromwich Albion vs Coventry City
West Bromwich Albion wins

1.78

Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam
Both Team to Score

1.78

Santos de Guápiles vs Municipal Grecia
Over 2.5

1.78

Pau vs Bordeaux
Both Team not to Score

1.78

Curicó Unido vs Audax Italiano
Under 2.5

1.78

Tacuary vs Guaireña
Both Team not to Score

1.78

Valenciennes vs Laval
Both Team not to Score

1.78

Dordrecht vs Eindhoven
Over 2.5

1.80

West Bromwich Albion vs Coventry City
Under 2.5

1.80

Coquimbo Unido vs Universidad Católica
Both Team to Score

1.80

Puskas vs Vasas
Both Team not to Score

1.80

The first one is Bets which have a great possibility of chance to win with a lot of indicating factors are called sure bets according to various on betting industry. This bets are claimed as sure bets after going on through analysis of factors involved on the matches like recent forms, head to head history, squad news, fixtures and so on. Even if this bets have very likely chance of winning regards to possibility they can’t be confirmed as hundred percent win due to the nature of unexpected occurrence on events once in a while.

The other sure bet definition is used to refer bets which guarantee winnings regardless to outcomes of the event. This bets are also called arbitrage. This bets work on principle of mathematical formula to secure profits on bet whatever the final score says. It depends on exploiting bookmakers’ odd calculation difference from site to site. Bookmakers set odds based on their data and analysis on the particular event and there are times where these bookies have different perspective on some events possible outcome. So betting experts sniff around various sites to find this mathematical breach and they use the opportunity to set up different bets on opposite outcomes of same event with calculated stakes to bring of a little bit profit or stake return.  According to research the profit margins for Sure bets range between 1 and 3 %.

እርግጠኛ ውርርድ ማለት ምን ማለት ነው?

እርግጠኛ ውርርድ የሚባሉት ውርርዶች የማሸነፍ ዋስትና ያላቸው ወይም ከፍተኛ የማሸነፍ ዕድል ያላቸው የውርርድ አይነቶች ሲሆኑ  ነው፡፡ ስለነዚህ ውርርዶች ባህሪያት ለማየት ከመነሳታችን በፊት፣ ከተረጋገጡ ውርርዶች በስተጀርባ ያሉትን ሁለት የተለያዩ ሐሳቦች እንመልከት።

የመጀመርያው የተረጋገጡ ውርርድ በመባል የሚታወቁት በብዙ ትንተናዎች እና እይታዎች መሰረት በጣም ከፍተኛ የማሸነፍ እድል የተሰጣቸው ውርርዶች  ናቸው ። እነዚህ ውርርዶች የተረጋገጠ የማሸነፍ ዕድል አላቸው ለማለት የሚረዱ ዕይታዎች ማለትም የተጋጣሚዎች ወቅታዊ አቋም፣ ያለፉ የእርስ በርስ ግጥሚያዎች ታሪክ ፣ የቡድን ዜናዎች፣ የቅርብ ጨዋታ መርሃግብሮች እና ሌሎችም ከላይ ያልተካተቱትን ሁኔታዎች በመተንተን የመሆን ዕድላቸው በጣም የሰፉ ግምቶችን መወራረድ ማለት ነው ። ምንም እንኳን እነዚህ ውርርዶች የማሸነፍ እድላቸው ምንም ያህል ከፍተኛ ቢሆንም እንኳ መቶ በመቶ የማሸነፍ ዕድል አላቸው ብሎ መደምደም አይቻልም፡፡ ምክንያቱ ደግሞ አንዳንድ ጊዜ በስፖርት ዓለም ውስጥ ከግምት ውጭ ያልተጠበቁ ነገሮች የመከሰት ዕድል ስላላቸው ነው።

ሌላኛው የተረጋገጠ ውርርድ ትርጉም የሚሰጠው የጨዋታው ውጤት ምንም ይሁን ምን የተወራራጆችን አሸናፊነትን ለሚያረጋግጥ የውርርድ አይነት ለማመልከት ነው። ይህ ውርርድ አርቢትሬጅ ተብሎም ይጠራል። በዚህ የውርርድ አይነት የመጨረሻው ውጤት ምንም ይሁን ምን በውርርድ ላይ ትርፍ ለማግኘት የሚሰላ የሂሳብ ቀመር የያዘ ነው። ይህ ስልት በተፎካካሪ የውርርድ ድርጅቶች መካከል የሚፈጠርን የኦድ ካልኩሌሽን ክፍተት በመጠቀም ላይ የተመሰረተ ነው፡፡ የውርርድ ድርጅቶች በአንድ የተወሰነ ክስተት ላይ ባላቸው መረጃ እና ትንታኔ ተመስርተው ኦዶችን ያዘጋጃሉ፡፡ ታዲያ በዚህ ስሌታቸው ውስጥ አንዳንድ ጊዜ ለተመሳሳይ ክስተቶች የተለያየ ዕይታ እና ግምት የሚያስቀምጡበት ጊዜ አለ።

እነዚህን መሰል ክፍተቶች ለመጠቀም የውርርድ ባለሙያዎች በተለያዩ  የውርርድ ድርጅት ድረ-ገጾች ላይ ካሰሱ በኋላ የሚያገኙትን ዕድል ተጠቅመው ትንሽ ትርፍ ወይም ያስያዙትን ገንዘብ ተመላሽ ለማድረግ የሚያስችል የውርርድ ቀመር ያዘጋጃሉ፡፡ በተመሳሳይ ክስተት ውስጥ ያሉ ተቃራኒ ውጤቶች ላይ የተለያዩ የመደብ ገንዘቦችን በማስያዝ የተወሰነ ትርፍ ማግኘት ይችላሉ። በሂሳባዊ ስሌት መሰረት በዚህ የውርርድ አይነት ተወራራጆች ካስያዙት ገንዘብ መጠን ከ1 እስከ 3 በመቶ የሚደርስ ትርፍ ይገኛሉ።