Sure Wins – እርግጠኛ ውርርድ ማለት ምን ማለት ነው?

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Sure bets are terms used on betting worlds which are given for bets with guaranteed or high possibility of winning. Before we take off to look on sure bets characteristics, let see the two different theories behind sure bet.

Cliftonville vs Warrenpoint Town
Cliftonville wins

1.17

Slaven Koprivnica vs Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk wins

1.18

Espanyol vs Pau
Espanyol wins

1.30

Slaven Koprivnica vs Shakhtar Donetsk
Over 2.5

1.36

EVV vs MVV
Over 2.5

1.36

Lancaster City vs Preston North End U21
Both Team to Score

1.36

South Shields vs Harrogate Town
Both Team to Score

1.36

Cliftonville vs Warrenpoint Town
Over 2.5

1.36

Fylkir vs Afturelding
Both Team to Score

1.40

EVV vs MVV
MVV wins

1.40

Ebbsfleet United vs West Ham United U21
Both Team to Score

1.40

Alfreton Town vs Rotherham United
Rotherham United wins

1.40

Merthyr Town vs Briton Ferry
Over 2.5

1.40

Torquay United vs Plymouth Argyle
Plymouth Argyle wins

1.40

Worthing vs Queens Park Rangers U21
Worthing wins

1.40

Gainsborough Trinity vs Halifax Town
Halifax Town wins

1.40

Crusaders vs Glenavon
Both Team to Score

1.42

Radcliffe vs Barrow
Both Team to Score

1.43

Darlington vs Carlisle United
Both Team to Score

1.43

Ebbsfleet United vs West Ham United U21
Over 2.5

1.44

Lancaster City vs Preston North End U21
Over 2.5

1.44

Radcliffe vs Barrow
Over 2.5

1.44

South Shields vs Harrogate Town
Over 2.5

1.44

Worthing vs Queens Park Rangers U21
Over 2.5

1.44

Buxton vs Scunthorpe United
Both Team to Score

1.44

Darlington vs Carlisle United
Over 2.5

1.44

Gainsborough Trinity vs Halifax Town
Over 2.5

1.44

Boreham Wood vs Tottenham Hotspur U21
Both Team to Score

1.44

Fylkir vs Afturelding
Over 2.5

1.45

Merthyr Town vs Briton Ferry
Both Team to Score

1.45

H&W Welders vs Portadown
Both Team to Score

1.45

Loughgall vs Dungannon Swifts
Dungannon Swifts wins

1.45

Taunton Town vs Weston-super-Mare
Weston-super-Mare wins

1.45

EVV vs MVV
Both Team to Score

1.46

Hebburn Town vs Hartlepool United
Hartlepool United wins

1.48

Darlington vs Carlisle United
Carlisle United wins

1.48

Sutton United vs Walton & Hersham
Sutton United wins

1.48

Chorley vs Altrincham
Both Team to Score

1.49

Aldershot Town vs Oxford United
Oxford United wins

1.50

Novorizontino vs Criciúma
Under 2.5

1.53

Libertad vs Delfin
Under 2.5

1.53

Swansea City vs Bochum
Both Team to Score

1.53

Merthyr Town vs Briton Ferry
Briton Ferry wins

1.53

Fleetwood Town vs Huddersfield Town
Both Team to Score

1.53

H&W Welders vs Portadown
Over 2.5

1.53

Buxton vs Scunthorpe United
Over 2.5

1.53

Colchester United vs Peterborough United
Both Team to Score

1.53

Crusaders vs Glenavon
Over 2.5

1.53

Gainsborough Trinity vs Halifax Town
Both Team to Score

1.53

Stratford Town vs Brackley Town
Brackley Town wins

1.53

Sutton United vs Walton & Hersham
Over 2.5

1.53

Boreham Wood vs Tottenham Hotspur U21
Over 2.5

1.53

Independiente vs Real Potosí
Both Team to Score

1.57

Shrewsbury Town vs Everton U21
Over 2.5

1.57

Shrewsbury Town vs Everton U21
Both Team to Score

1.57

Torquay United vs Plymouth Argyle
Over 2.5

1.57

Walsall vs Aston Villa
Aston Villa wins

1.57

Walsall vs Aston Villa
Over 2.5

1.57

Walsall vs Aston Villa
Both Team to Score

1.57

Worthing vs Queens Park Rangers U21
Both Team to Score

1.57

AFC Telford United vs Crewe Alexandra
Over 2.5

1.57

Sutton United vs Walton & Hersham
Both Team to Score

1.58

Aldershot Town vs Oxford United
Over 2.5

1.60

AFC Telford United vs Crewe Alexandra
Both Team to Score

1.60

Chorley vs Altrincham
Over 2.5

1.60

Loughgall vs Dungannon Swifts
Over 2.5

1.60

Independiente vs Real Potosí
Over 2.5

1.62

Espanyol vs Pau
Over 2.5

1.62

Gillingham vs Millwall
Millwall wins

1.62

Hebburn Town vs Hartlepool United
Over 2.5

1.62

AFC Telford United vs Crewe Alexandra
Crewe Alexandra wins

1.62

Taunton Town vs Weston-super-Mare
Over 2.5

1.62

Chertsey Town vs Wealdstone
Both Team to Score

1.64

Avaí vs América Mineiro
Under 2.5

1.65

Swansea City vs Bochum
Over 2.5

1.65

Fleetwood Town vs Huddersfield Town
Over 2.5

1.65

Colchester United vs Peterborough United
Over 2.5

1.65

Forest Green Rovers vs Bristol Rovers
Both Team to Score

1.67

Oldham Athletic vs Bolton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers wins

1.67

Chertsey Town vs Wealdstone
Wealdstone wins

1.67

Chertsey Town vs Wealdstone
Over 2.5

1.67

Radcliffe vs Barrow
Barrow wins

1.67

Shrewsbury Town vs Everton U21
Shrewsbury Town wins

1.67

Loughgall vs Dungannon Swifts
Both Team to Score

1.67

Hebburn Town vs Hartlepool United
Both Team to Score

1.69

Novorizontino vs Criciúma
Both Team not to Score

1.70

Libertad vs Delfin
Both Team not to Score

1.70

Oldham Athletic vs Bolton Wanderers
Both Team to Score

1.70

Independiente vs Real Potosí
Independiente wins

1.73

Espanyol vs Pau
Both Team to Score

1.73

Forest Green Rovers vs Bristol Rovers
Over 2.5

1.73

Oldham Athletic vs Bolton Wanderers
Over 2.5

1.73

Alfreton Town vs Rotherham United
Both Team to Score

1.73

Stratford Town vs Brackley Town
Over 2.5

1.73

Taunton Town vs Weston-super-Mare
Both Team to Score

1.73

Aldershot Town vs Oxford United
Both Team to Score

1.75

Gillingham vs Millwall
Over 2.5

1.75

Gillingham vs Millwall
Both Team to Score

1.75

Torquay United vs Plymouth Argyle
Both Team to Score

1.75

Stratford Town vs Brackley Town
Both Team to Score

1.76

Atlético Mineiro vs Bahia
Both Team to Score

1.77

Cliftonville vs Warrenpoint Town
Both Team not to Score

1.79

Slaven Koprivnica vs Shakhtar Donetsk
Both Team to Score

1.80

Forest Green Rovers vs Bristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers wins

1.80

Alfreton Town vs Rotherham United
Over 2.5

1.80

The first one is Bets which have a great possibility of chance to win with a lot of indicating factors are called sure bets according to various on betting industry. This bets are claimed as sure bets after going on through analysis of factors involved on the matches like recent forms, head to head history, squad news, fixtures and so on. Even if this bets have very likely chance of winning regards to possibility they can’t be confirmed as hundred percent win due to the nature of unexpected occurrence on events once in a while.

The other sure bet definition is used to refer bets which guarantee winnings regardless to outcomes of the event. This bets are also called arbitrage. This bets work on principle of mathematical formula to secure profits on bet whatever the final score says. It depends on exploiting bookmakers’ odd calculation difference from site to site. Bookmakers set odds based on their data and analysis on the particular event and there are times where these bookies have different perspective on some events possible outcome. So betting experts sniff around various sites to find this mathematical breach and they use the opportunity to set up different bets on opposite outcomes of same event with calculated stakes to bring of a little bit profit or stake return.  According to research the profit margins for Sure bets range between 1 and 3 %.

እርግጠኛ ውርርድ ማለት ምን ማለት ነው?

እርግጠኛ ውርርድ የሚባሉት ውርርዶች የማሸነፍ ዋስትና ያላቸው ወይም ከፍተኛ የማሸነፍ ዕድል ያላቸው የውርርድ አይነቶች ሲሆኑ  ነው፡፡ ስለነዚህ ውርርዶች ባህሪያት ለማየት ከመነሳታችን በፊት፣ ከተረጋገጡ ውርርዶች በስተጀርባ ያሉትን ሁለት የተለያዩ ሐሳቦች እንመልከት።

የመጀመርያው የተረጋገጡ ውርርድ በመባል የሚታወቁት በብዙ ትንተናዎች እና እይታዎች መሰረት በጣም ከፍተኛ የማሸነፍ እድል የተሰጣቸው ውርርዶች  ናቸው ። እነዚህ ውርርዶች የተረጋገጠ የማሸነፍ ዕድል አላቸው ለማለት የሚረዱ ዕይታዎች ማለትም የተጋጣሚዎች ወቅታዊ አቋም፣ ያለፉ የእርስ በርስ ግጥሚያዎች ታሪክ ፣ የቡድን ዜናዎች፣ የቅርብ ጨዋታ መርሃግብሮች እና ሌሎችም ከላይ ያልተካተቱትን ሁኔታዎች በመተንተን የመሆን ዕድላቸው በጣም የሰፉ ግምቶችን መወራረድ ማለት ነው ። ምንም እንኳን እነዚህ ውርርዶች የማሸነፍ እድላቸው ምንም ያህል ከፍተኛ ቢሆንም እንኳ መቶ በመቶ የማሸነፍ ዕድል አላቸው ብሎ መደምደም አይቻልም፡፡ ምክንያቱ ደግሞ አንዳንድ ጊዜ በስፖርት ዓለም ውስጥ ከግምት ውጭ ያልተጠበቁ ነገሮች የመከሰት ዕድል ስላላቸው ነው።

ሌላኛው የተረጋገጠ ውርርድ ትርጉም የሚሰጠው የጨዋታው ውጤት ምንም ይሁን ምን የተወራራጆችን አሸናፊነትን ለሚያረጋግጥ የውርርድ አይነት ለማመልከት ነው። ይህ ውርርድ አርቢትሬጅ ተብሎም ይጠራል። በዚህ የውርርድ አይነት የመጨረሻው ውጤት ምንም ይሁን ምን በውርርድ ላይ ትርፍ ለማግኘት የሚሰላ የሂሳብ ቀመር የያዘ ነው። ይህ ስልት በተፎካካሪ የውርርድ ድርጅቶች መካከል የሚፈጠርን የኦድ ካልኩሌሽን ክፍተት በመጠቀም ላይ የተመሰረተ ነው፡፡ የውርርድ ድርጅቶች በአንድ የተወሰነ ክስተት ላይ ባላቸው መረጃ እና ትንታኔ ተመስርተው ኦዶችን ያዘጋጃሉ፡፡ ታዲያ በዚህ ስሌታቸው ውስጥ አንዳንድ ጊዜ ለተመሳሳይ ክስተቶች የተለያየ ዕይታ እና ግምት የሚያስቀምጡበት ጊዜ አለ።

እነዚህን መሰል ክፍተቶች ለመጠቀም የውርርድ ባለሙያዎች በተለያዩ  የውርርድ ድርጅት ድረ-ገጾች ላይ ካሰሱ በኋላ የሚያገኙትን ዕድል ተጠቅመው ትንሽ ትርፍ ወይም ያስያዙትን ገንዘብ ተመላሽ ለማድረግ የሚያስችል የውርርድ ቀመር ያዘጋጃሉ፡፡ በተመሳሳይ ክስተት ውስጥ ያሉ ተቃራኒ ውጤቶች ላይ የተለያዩ የመደብ ገንዘቦችን በማስያዝ የተወሰነ ትርፍ ማግኘት ይችላሉ። በሂሳባዊ ስሌት መሰረት በዚህ የውርርድ አይነት ተወራራጆች ካስያዙት ገንዘብ መጠን ከ1 እስከ 3 በመቶ የሚደርስ ትርፍ ይገኛሉ።

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