Sure Wins – እርግጠኛ ውርርድ ማለት ምን ማለት ነው?

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Sure bets are terms used on betting worlds which are given for bets with guaranteed or high possibility of winning. Before we take off to look on sure bets characteristics, let see the two different theories behind sure bet.

KÁ Ásvellir vs KR
KR wins

1.01

Augnablik vs Stjarnan
Stjarnan wins

1.01

KÁ Ásvellir vs KR
Over 2.5

1.02

Augnablik vs Stjarnan
Over 2.5

1.10

Olancho vs Vida
Olancho wins

1.18

Ajax vs Excelsior
Ajax wins

1.28

Thróttur Reykjavík vs HK
Over 2.5

1.33

Thróttur Reykjavík vs HK
Both Team to Score

1.33

Ajax vs Excelsior
Over 2.5

1.35

Zenit vs Rubin Kazan
Zenit wins

1.35

Zalgiris vs Dainava
Zalgiris wins

1.38

Pyramids vs National Bank of Egypt
Pyramids wins

1.40

Valur vs FH
Over 2.5

1.40

Lorient vs PSG
PSG wins

1.40

Zrinjski vs Sarajevo
Zrinjski wins

1.44

Valur vs FH
Both Team to Score

1.45

Olancho vs Vida
Both Team not to Score

1.47

Lorient vs PSG
Over 2.5

1.48

Lechia Gdańsk vs Polonia Warszawa
Lechia Gdańsk wins

1.52

IFK Göteborg vs Häcken
Both Team to Score

1.53

Brommapojkarna vs Sirius
Both Team to Score

1.55

Augnablik vs Stjarnan
Both Team not to Score

1.57

AIK vs Värnamo
AIK wins

1.57

Coventry City vs Hull City
Both Team to Score

1.58

Monaco vs Lille
Both Team to Score

1.60

Achuapa vs Mixco
Under 2.5

1.60

Acassuso vs Sacachispas
Acassuso wins

1.62

Valur vs FH
Valur wins

1.62

Anderlecht vs Cercle Brugge
Both Team to Score

1.62

Club Brugge vs Genk
Both Team to Score

1.62

Olancho vs Vida
Over 2.5

1.63

Zenit vs Rubin Kazan
Both Team not to Score

1.64

Lorient vs PSG
Both Team to Score

1.65

IFK Göteborg vs Häcken
Over 2.5

1.65

Brommapojkarna vs Sirius
Over 2.5

1.65

Club Brugge vs Genk
Over 2.5

1.65

Zalgiris vs Dainava
Both Team not to Score

1.66

KÁ Ásvellir vs KR
Both Team not to Score

1.66

Ajax vs Excelsior
Both Team to Score

1.67

Coventry City vs Hull City
Over 2.5

1.68

Pyramids vs National Bank of Egypt
Both Team not to Score

1.68

Acassuso vs Sacachispas
Under 2.5

1.68

Atalanta vs Fiorentina
Both Team to Score

1.68

Krasnodar vs Baltika
Krasnodar wins

1.70

Acassuso vs Sacachispas
Both Team not to Score

1.70

Monaco vs Lille
Over 2.5

1.70

Atalanta vs Fiorentina
Over 2.5

1.72

Lechia Gdańsk vs Polonia Warszawa
Over 2.5

1.72

Once Deportivo vs Platense Municipal
Both Team to Score

1.72

Fuerte San Francisco vs FAS
Under 2.5

1.72

Anderlecht vs Cercle Brugge
Over 2.5

1.72

Achuapa vs Mixco
Both Team not to Score

1.72

Gorica vs Beltinci
Both Team to Score

1.73

Fuerte San Francisco vs FAS
Both Team to Score

1.75

Club Brugge vs Genk
Club Brugge wins

1.80

Krasnodar vs Baltika
Both Team not to Score

1.80

Gorica vs Beltinci
Under 2.5

1.80

AEK Athens vs Panathinaikos
Both Team to Score

1.80

Zrinjski vs Sarajevo
Over 2.5

1.80

AIK vs Värnamo
Both Team not to Score

1.80

Lechia Gdańsk vs Polonia Warszawa
Both Team to Score

1.80

Marseille vs Nice
Under 2.5

1.80

The first one is Bets which have a great possibility of chance to win with a lot of indicating factors are called sure bets according to various on betting industry. This bets are claimed as sure bets after going on through analysis of factors involved on the matches like recent forms, head to head history, squad news, fixtures and so on. Even if this bets have very likely chance of winning regards to possibility they can’t be confirmed as hundred percent win due to the nature of unexpected occurrence on events once in a while.

The other sure bet definition is used to refer bets which guarantee winnings regardless to outcomes of the event. This bets are also called arbitrage. This bets work on principle of mathematical formula to secure profits on bet whatever the final score says. It depends on exploiting bookmakers’ odd calculation difference from site to site. Bookmakers set odds based on their data and analysis on the particular event and there are times where these bookies have different perspective on some events possible outcome. So betting experts sniff around various sites to find this mathematical breach and they use the opportunity to set up different bets on opposite outcomes of same event with calculated stakes to bring of a little bit profit or stake return.  According to research the profit margins for Sure bets range between 1 and 3 %.

እርግጠኛ ውርርድ ማለት ምን ማለት ነው?

እርግጠኛ ውርርድ የሚባሉት ውርርዶች የማሸነፍ ዋስትና ያላቸው ወይም ከፍተኛ የማሸነፍ ዕድል ያላቸው የውርርድ አይነቶች ሲሆኑ  ነው፡፡ ስለነዚህ ውርርዶች ባህሪያት ለማየት ከመነሳታችን በፊት፣ ከተረጋገጡ ውርርዶች በስተጀርባ ያሉትን ሁለት የተለያዩ ሐሳቦች እንመልከት።

የመጀመርያው የተረጋገጡ ውርርድ በመባል የሚታወቁት በብዙ ትንተናዎች እና እይታዎች መሰረት በጣም ከፍተኛ የማሸነፍ እድል የተሰጣቸው ውርርዶች  ናቸው ። እነዚህ ውርርዶች የተረጋገጠ የማሸነፍ ዕድል አላቸው ለማለት የሚረዱ ዕይታዎች ማለትም የተጋጣሚዎች ወቅታዊ አቋም፣ ያለፉ የእርስ በርስ ግጥሚያዎች ታሪክ ፣ የቡድን ዜናዎች፣ የቅርብ ጨዋታ መርሃግብሮች እና ሌሎችም ከላይ ያልተካተቱትን ሁኔታዎች በመተንተን የመሆን ዕድላቸው በጣም የሰፉ ግምቶችን መወራረድ ማለት ነው ። ምንም እንኳን እነዚህ ውርርዶች የማሸነፍ እድላቸው ምንም ያህል ከፍተኛ ቢሆንም እንኳ መቶ በመቶ የማሸነፍ ዕድል አላቸው ብሎ መደምደም አይቻልም፡፡ ምክንያቱ ደግሞ አንዳንድ ጊዜ በስፖርት ዓለም ውስጥ ከግምት ውጭ ያልተጠበቁ ነገሮች የመከሰት ዕድል ስላላቸው ነው።

ሌላኛው የተረጋገጠ ውርርድ ትርጉም የሚሰጠው የጨዋታው ውጤት ምንም ይሁን ምን የተወራራጆችን አሸናፊነትን ለሚያረጋግጥ የውርርድ አይነት ለማመልከት ነው። ይህ ውርርድ አርቢትሬጅ ተብሎም ይጠራል። በዚህ የውርርድ አይነት የመጨረሻው ውጤት ምንም ይሁን ምን በውርርድ ላይ ትርፍ ለማግኘት የሚሰላ የሂሳብ ቀመር የያዘ ነው። ይህ ስልት በተፎካካሪ የውርርድ ድርጅቶች መካከል የሚፈጠርን የኦድ ካልኩሌሽን ክፍተት በመጠቀም ላይ የተመሰረተ ነው፡፡ የውርርድ ድርጅቶች በአንድ የተወሰነ ክስተት ላይ ባላቸው መረጃ እና ትንታኔ ተመስርተው ኦዶችን ያዘጋጃሉ፡፡ ታዲያ በዚህ ስሌታቸው ውስጥ አንዳንድ ጊዜ ለተመሳሳይ ክስተቶች የተለያየ ዕይታ እና ግምት የሚያስቀምጡበት ጊዜ አለ።

እነዚህን መሰል ክፍተቶች ለመጠቀም የውርርድ ባለሙያዎች በተለያዩ  የውርርድ ድርጅት ድረ-ገጾች ላይ ካሰሱ በኋላ የሚያገኙትን ዕድል ተጠቅመው ትንሽ ትርፍ ወይም ያስያዙትን ገንዘብ ተመላሽ ለማድረግ የሚያስችል የውርርድ ቀመር ያዘጋጃሉ፡፡ በተመሳሳይ ክስተት ውስጥ ያሉ ተቃራኒ ውጤቶች ላይ የተለያዩ የመደብ ገንዘቦችን በማስያዝ የተወሰነ ትርፍ ማግኘት ይችላሉ። በሂሳባዊ ስሌት መሰረት በዚህ የውርርድ አይነት ተወራራጆች ካስያዙት ገንዘብ መጠን ከ1 እስከ 3 በመቶ የሚደርስ ትርፍ ይገኛሉ።

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