Sure Wins – እርግጠኛ ውርርድ ማለት ምን ማለት ነው?

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Sure bets are terms used on betting worlds which are given for bets with guaranteed or high possibility of winning. Before we take off to look on sure bets characteristics, let see the two different theories behind sure bet.

KÍ vs AB
KÍ wins

1.12

Rigas FS vs Tukums
Rigas FS wins

1.15

Al Jahra vs Al Arabi
Al Arabi wins

1.17

EB / Streymur vs NSÍ
NSÍ wins

1.18

B36 vs 07 Vestur
B36 wins

1.22

EB / Streymur vs NSÍ
Over 2.5

1.30

Stabæk vs Kongsvinger
Both Team to Score

1.33

KÍ vs AB
Over 2.5

1.36

Stabæk vs Kongsvinger
Over 2.5

1.36

Strømsgodset vs Bryne
Over 2.5

1.36

Rigas FS vs Tukums
Over 2.5

1.38

Al Tadhamon vs Al Qadsia
Al Qadsia wins

1.40

Sandnes Ulf vs Sogndal
Both Team to Score

1.40

B68 vs HB
HB wins

1.40

B68 vs HB
Over 2.5

1.42

Odd vs Ranheim
Both Team to Score

1.44

Víkingur vs Skála
Víkingur wins

1.44

Strømsgodset vs Bryne
Both Team to Score

1.44

Haugesund vs Moss
Both Team to Score

1.45

Strømsgodset vs Bryne
Strømsgodset wins

1.45

Haugesund vs Moss
Over 2.5

1.48

Lyn vs Strømmen
Both Team to Score

1.48

Sandnes Ulf vs Sogndal
Over 2.5

1.48

B36 vs 07 Vestur
Over 2.5

1.48

Sarajevo vs Željezničar
Sarajevo wins

1.50

Odd vs Ranheim
Over 2.5

1.50

Åsane vs Raufoss
Both Team to Score

1.50

Al Jahra vs Al Arabi
Over 2.5

1.53

Botafogo SP vs Athletic Club
Under 2.5

1.53

Los Angeles vs Seattle Sounders
Both Team to Score

1.55

Kiryat Yam SC vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
Both Team to Score

1.55

Hødd vs Egersund
Both Team to Score

1.55

B68 vs HB
Both Team to Score

1.55

Khenchela vs USM Alger
Under 2.5

1.57

Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Hapoel Ramat Gan
Both Team to Score

1.57

Kiryat Yam SC vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
Over 2.5

1.57

Al Jahra vs Al Arabi
Both Team not to Score

1.57

Lyn vs Strømmen
Over 2.5

1.57

Hvidovre vs Esbjerg
Both Team to Score

1.60

Hapoel Ra'anana vs Ironi Modi'in
Both Team to Score

1.60

Fortuna Mfou vs Colombe
Colombe wins

1.60

Elfsborg vs Häcken
Both Team to Score

1.60

Comerciantes Unidos vs Deportivo Garcilaso
Under 2.5

1.60

Siroki Brijeg vs Radnik Bijeljina
Under 2.5

1.61

Hapoel Nof HaGalil vs Hapoel Acre
Under 2.5

1.61

Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets wins

1.64

Lyngby vs Horsens
Both Team to Score

1.65

CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Levski Sofia
Under 2.5

1.65

Los Angeles vs Seattle Sounders
Over 2.5

1.65

Botafogo SP vs Athletic Club
Both Team not to Score

1.65

KÍ vs AB
Both Team not to Score

1.65

Víkingur vs Skála
Over 2.5

1.65

Dinamo Batumi vs Rustavi
Under 2.5

1.65

Åsane vs Raufoss
Over 2.5

1.65

Rigas FS vs Tukums
Both Team not to Score

1.66

Sarajevo vs Željezničar
Both Team not to Score

1.67

Kolding vs Hillerød
Both Team to Score

1.67

Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia
Both Team to Score

1.67

EB / Streymur vs NSÍ
Both Team to Score

1.67

Kiryat Yam SC vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
Maccabi Petah Tikva wins

1.68

Ogre United vs Grobiņa
Under 2.5

1.68

Haugesund vs Moss
Haugesund wins

1.68

Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia
Over 2.5

1.70

Cherno more vs Arda
Under 2.5

1.70

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Plovdiv
Under 2.5

1.70

IFK Göteborg vs Mjällby
Both Team to Score

1.70

Hødd vs Egersund
Over 2.5

1.70

Paderborn vs Wolfsburg
Both Team to Score

1.70

Ogre United vs Grobiņa
Both Team to Score

1.71

Coritiba vs Bahia
Both Team to Score

1.73

Samgurali vs Saburtalo
Under 2.5

1.73

Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul
Both Team to Score

1.73

Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Hapoel Ramat Gan
Over 2.5

1.74

St. Mirren vs Partick Thistle
St. Mirren wins

1.74

Al Tadhamon vs Al Qadsia
Over 2.5

1.75

Al Tadhamon vs Al Qadsia
Both Team not to Score

1.75

Spaeri vs Meshakhte
Spaeri wins

1.75

Hapoel Ra'anana vs Ironi Modi'in
Over 2.5

1.76

Kolding vs Hillerød
Over 2.5

1.77

Hvidovre vs Esbjerg
Over 2.5

1.77

CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Levski Sofia
Both Team to Score

1.77

Khenchela vs USM Alger
Both Team not to Score

1.77

Comerciantes Unidos vs Deportivo Garcilaso
Both Team not to Score

1.77

Víkingur vs Skála
Both Team to Score

1.77

B36 vs 07 Vestur
Both Team not to Score

1.77

Siroki Brijeg vs Radnik Bijeljina
Both Team not to Score

1.78

Hapoel Nof HaGalil vs Hapoel Acre
Both Team to Score

1.78

Fortuna Mfou vs Colombe
Both Team not to Score

1.79

Lyngby vs Horsens
Over 2.5

1.80

Cherno more vs Arda
Both Team to Score

1.80

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Plovdiv
Both Team to Score

1.80

Fortuna Mfou vs Colombe
Under 2.5

1.80

Coritiba vs Bahia
Under 2.5

1.80

St. Mirren vs Partick Thistle
Under 2.5

1.80

Samgurali vs Saburtalo
Both Team not to Score

1.80

Dinamo Batumi vs Rustavi
Both Team not to Score

1.80

Spaeri vs Meshakhte
Both Team to Score

1.80

The first one is Bets which have a great possibility of chance to win with a lot of indicating factors are called sure bets according to various on betting industry. This bets are claimed as sure bets after going on through analysis of factors involved on the matches like recent forms, head to head history, squad news, fixtures and so on. Even if this bets have very likely chance of winning regards to possibility they can’t be confirmed as hundred percent win due to the nature of unexpected occurrence on events once in a while.

The other sure bet definition is used to refer bets which guarantee winnings regardless to outcomes of the event. This bets are also called arbitrage. This bets work on principle of mathematical formula to secure profits on bet whatever the final score says. It depends on exploiting bookmakers’ odd calculation difference from site to site. Bookmakers set odds based on their data and analysis on the particular event and there are times where these bookies have different perspective on some events possible outcome. So betting experts sniff around various sites to find this mathematical breach and they use the opportunity to set up different bets on opposite outcomes of same event with calculated stakes to bring of a little bit profit or stake return.  According to research the profit margins for Sure bets range between 1 and 3 %.

እርግጠኛ ውርርድ ማለት ምን ማለት ነው?

እርግጠኛ ውርርድ የሚባሉት ውርርዶች የማሸነፍ ዋስትና ያላቸው ወይም ከፍተኛ የማሸነፍ ዕድል ያላቸው የውርርድ አይነቶች ሲሆኑ  ነው፡፡ ስለነዚህ ውርርዶች ባህሪያት ለማየት ከመነሳታችን በፊት፣ ከተረጋገጡ ውርርዶች በስተጀርባ ያሉትን ሁለት የተለያዩ ሐሳቦች እንመልከት።

የመጀመርያው የተረጋገጡ ውርርድ በመባል የሚታወቁት በብዙ ትንተናዎች እና እይታዎች መሰረት በጣም ከፍተኛ የማሸነፍ እድል የተሰጣቸው ውርርዶች  ናቸው ። እነዚህ ውርርዶች የተረጋገጠ የማሸነፍ ዕድል አላቸው ለማለት የሚረዱ ዕይታዎች ማለትም የተጋጣሚዎች ወቅታዊ አቋም፣ ያለፉ የእርስ በርስ ግጥሚያዎች ታሪክ ፣ የቡድን ዜናዎች፣ የቅርብ ጨዋታ መርሃግብሮች እና ሌሎችም ከላይ ያልተካተቱትን ሁኔታዎች በመተንተን የመሆን ዕድላቸው በጣም የሰፉ ግምቶችን መወራረድ ማለት ነው ። ምንም እንኳን እነዚህ ውርርዶች የማሸነፍ እድላቸው ምንም ያህል ከፍተኛ ቢሆንም እንኳ መቶ በመቶ የማሸነፍ ዕድል አላቸው ብሎ መደምደም አይቻልም፡፡ ምክንያቱ ደግሞ አንዳንድ ጊዜ በስፖርት ዓለም ውስጥ ከግምት ውጭ ያልተጠበቁ ነገሮች የመከሰት ዕድል ስላላቸው ነው።

ሌላኛው የተረጋገጠ ውርርድ ትርጉም የሚሰጠው የጨዋታው ውጤት ምንም ይሁን ምን የተወራራጆችን አሸናፊነትን ለሚያረጋግጥ የውርርድ አይነት ለማመልከት ነው። ይህ ውርርድ አርቢትሬጅ ተብሎም ይጠራል። በዚህ የውርርድ አይነት የመጨረሻው ውጤት ምንም ይሁን ምን በውርርድ ላይ ትርፍ ለማግኘት የሚሰላ የሂሳብ ቀመር የያዘ ነው። ይህ ስልት በተፎካካሪ የውርርድ ድርጅቶች መካከል የሚፈጠርን የኦድ ካልኩሌሽን ክፍተት በመጠቀም ላይ የተመሰረተ ነው፡፡ የውርርድ ድርጅቶች በአንድ የተወሰነ ክስተት ላይ ባላቸው መረጃ እና ትንታኔ ተመስርተው ኦዶችን ያዘጋጃሉ፡፡ ታዲያ በዚህ ስሌታቸው ውስጥ አንዳንድ ጊዜ ለተመሳሳይ ክስተቶች የተለያየ ዕይታ እና ግምት የሚያስቀምጡበት ጊዜ አለ።

እነዚህን መሰል ክፍተቶች ለመጠቀም የውርርድ ባለሙያዎች በተለያዩ  የውርርድ ድርጅት ድረ-ገጾች ላይ ካሰሱ በኋላ የሚያገኙትን ዕድል ተጠቅመው ትንሽ ትርፍ ወይም ያስያዙትን ገንዘብ ተመላሽ ለማድረግ የሚያስችል የውርርድ ቀመር ያዘጋጃሉ፡፡ በተመሳሳይ ክስተት ውስጥ ያሉ ተቃራኒ ውጤቶች ላይ የተለያዩ የመደብ ገንዘቦችን በማስያዝ የተወሰነ ትርፍ ማግኘት ይችላሉ። በሂሳባዊ ስሌት መሰረት በዚህ የውርርድ አይነት ተወራራጆች ካስያዙት ገንዘብ መጠን ከ1 እስከ 3 በመቶ የሚደርስ ትርፍ ይገኛሉ።

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