Sure Wins – እርግጠኛ ውርርድ ማለት ምን ማለት ነው?

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Sure bets are terms used on betting worlds which are given for bets with guaranteed or high possibility of winning. Before we take off to look on sure bets characteristics, let see the two different theories behind sure bet.

Al Kholood vs Al Hilal
Al Hilal wins

1.17

Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Hapoel Jerusalem
Hapoel Be'er Sheva wins

1.26

Al Kholood vs Al Hilal
Over 2.5

1.33

Sudan vs Burkina Faso
Under 2.5

1.40

NEOM vs Al Ittihad
Both Team to Score

1.42

Bibiani Gold Stars vs Medeama
Under 2.5

1.44

Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
Both Team to Score

1.45

Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Hapoel Jerusalem
Over 2.5

1.45

Sudan vs Burkina Faso
Both Team not to Score

1.48

Briton Ferry vs Barry Town United
Both Team to Score

1.48

Connah's Quay vs The New Saints
The New Saints wins

1.48

NEOM vs Al Ittihad
Over 2.5

1.48

Gabon vs Côte d'Ivoire
Côte d'Ivoire wins

1.50

Erbil vs Naft Maysan
Erbil wins

1.50

Sparta Praha II vs Příbram
Both Team to Score

1.53

Kazma vs Al Salmiyah
Both Team to Score

1.53

Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
Over 2.5

1.55

Briton Ferry vs Barry Town United
Over 2.5

1.55

Gabon vs Côte d'Ivoire
Both Team not to Score

1.57

Ashdod vs Maccabi Haifa
Both Team to Score

1.57

Sparta Praha II vs Příbram
Over 2.5

1.57

Zakho vs Al Karkh
Under 2.5

1.57

Zakho vs Al Karkh
Both Team not to Score

1.57

Mozambique vs Cameroon
Cameroon wins

1.60

Erbil vs Naft Maysan
Both Team not to Score

1.60

Equatorial Guinea vs Algeria
Under 2.5

1.62

Mozambique vs Cameroon
Under 2.5

1.62

Mozambique vs Cameroon
Both Team not to Score

1.62

Ashdod vs Maccabi Haifa
Maccabi Haifa wins

1.62

Ashdod vs Maccabi Haifa
Over 2.5

1.62

Zakho vs Al Karkh
Zakho wins

1.62

Gabon vs Côte d'Ivoire
Under 2.5

1.65

Connah's Quay vs The New Saints
Over 2.5

1.65

Equatorial Guinea vs Algeria
Both Team not to Score

1.70

Connah's Quay vs The New Saints
Both Team to Score

1.70

Kazma vs Al Salmiyah
Over 2.5

1.70

Erbil vs Naft Maysan
Under 2.5

1.70

Bibiani Gold Stars vs Medeama
Both Team not to Score

1.70

Bala Town vs Caernarfon Town
Both Team to Score

1.73

Equatorial Guinea vs Algeria
Algeria wins

1.74

Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Hapoel Jerusalem
Both Team to Score

1.80

Bala Town vs Caernarfon Town
Under 2.5

1.80

Sparta Praha II vs Příbram
Sparta Praha II wins

1.80

Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar
Under 2.5

1.80

Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar
Both Team to Score

1.80

The first one is Bets which have a great possibility of chance to win with a lot of indicating factors are called sure bets according to various on betting industry. This bets are claimed as sure bets after going on through analysis of factors involved on the matches like recent forms, head to head history, squad news, fixtures and so on. Even if this bets have very likely chance of winning regards to possibility they can’t be confirmed as hundred percent win due to the nature of unexpected occurrence on events once in a while.

The other sure bet definition is used to refer bets which guarantee winnings regardless to outcomes of the event. This bets are also called arbitrage. This bets work on principle of mathematical formula to secure profits on bet whatever the final score says. It depends on exploiting bookmakers’ odd calculation difference from site to site. Bookmakers set odds based on their data and analysis on the particular event and there are times where these bookies have different perspective on some events possible outcome. So betting experts sniff around various sites to find this mathematical breach and they use the opportunity to set up different bets on opposite outcomes of same event with calculated stakes to bring of a little bit profit or stake return.  According to research the profit margins for Sure bets range between 1 and 3 %.

እርግጠኛ ውርርድ ማለት ምን ማለት ነው?

እርግጠኛ ውርርድ የሚባሉት ውርርዶች የማሸነፍ ዋስትና ያላቸው ወይም ከፍተኛ የማሸነፍ ዕድል ያላቸው የውርርድ አይነቶች ሲሆኑ  ነው፡፡ ስለነዚህ ውርርዶች ባህሪያት ለማየት ከመነሳታችን በፊት፣ ከተረጋገጡ ውርርዶች በስተጀርባ ያሉትን ሁለት የተለያዩ ሐሳቦች እንመልከት።

የመጀመርያው የተረጋገጡ ውርርድ በመባል የሚታወቁት በብዙ ትንተናዎች እና እይታዎች መሰረት በጣም ከፍተኛ የማሸነፍ እድል የተሰጣቸው ውርርዶች  ናቸው ። እነዚህ ውርርዶች የተረጋገጠ የማሸነፍ ዕድል አላቸው ለማለት የሚረዱ ዕይታዎች ማለትም የተጋጣሚዎች ወቅታዊ አቋም፣ ያለፉ የእርስ በርስ ግጥሚያዎች ታሪክ ፣ የቡድን ዜናዎች፣ የቅርብ ጨዋታ መርሃግብሮች እና ሌሎችም ከላይ ያልተካተቱትን ሁኔታዎች በመተንተን የመሆን ዕድላቸው በጣም የሰፉ ግምቶችን መወራረድ ማለት ነው ። ምንም እንኳን እነዚህ ውርርዶች የማሸነፍ እድላቸው ምንም ያህል ከፍተኛ ቢሆንም እንኳ መቶ በመቶ የማሸነፍ ዕድል አላቸው ብሎ መደምደም አይቻልም፡፡ ምክንያቱ ደግሞ አንዳንድ ጊዜ በስፖርት ዓለም ውስጥ ከግምት ውጭ ያልተጠበቁ ነገሮች የመከሰት ዕድል ስላላቸው ነው።

ሌላኛው የተረጋገጠ ውርርድ ትርጉም የሚሰጠው የጨዋታው ውጤት ምንም ይሁን ምን የተወራራጆችን አሸናፊነትን ለሚያረጋግጥ የውርርድ አይነት ለማመልከት ነው። ይህ ውርርድ አርቢትሬጅ ተብሎም ይጠራል። በዚህ የውርርድ አይነት የመጨረሻው ውጤት ምንም ይሁን ምን በውርርድ ላይ ትርፍ ለማግኘት የሚሰላ የሂሳብ ቀመር የያዘ ነው። ይህ ስልት በተፎካካሪ የውርርድ ድርጅቶች መካከል የሚፈጠርን የኦድ ካልኩሌሽን ክፍተት በመጠቀም ላይ የተመሰረተ ነው፡፡ የውርርድ ድርጅቶች በአንድ የተወሰነ ክስተት ላይ ባላቸው መረጃ እና ትንታኔ ተመስርተው ኦዶችን ያዘጋጃሉ፡፡ ታዲያ በዚህ ስሌታቸው ውስጥ አንዳንድ ጊዜ ለተመሳሳይ ክስተቶች የተለያየ ዕይታ እና ግምት የሚያስቀምጡበት ጊዜ አለ።

እነዚህን መሰል ክፍተቶች ለመጠቀም የውርርድ ባለሙያዎች በተለያዩ  የውርርድ ድርጅት ድረ-ገጾች ላይ ካሰሱ በኋላ የሚያገኙትን ዕድል ተጠቅመው ትንሽ ትርፍ ወይም ያስያዙትን ገንዘብ ተመላሽ ለማድረግ የሚያስችል የውርርድ ቀመር ያዘጋጃሉ፡፡ በተመሳሳይ ክስተት ውስጥ ያሉ ተቃራኒ ውጤቶች ላይ የተለያዩ የመደብ ገንዘቦችን በማስያዝ የተወሰነ ትርፍ ማግኘት ይችላሉ። በሂሳባዊ ስሌት መሰረት በዚህ የውርርድ አይነት ተወራራጆች ካስያዙት ገንዘብ መጠን ከ1 እስከ 3 በመቶ የሚደርስ ትርፍ ይገኛሉ።

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