Sure Wins – እርግጠኛ ውርርድ ማለት ምን ማለት ነው?

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Sure bets are terms used on betting worlds which are given for bets with guaranteed or high possibility of winning. Before we take off to look on sure bets characteristics, let see the two different theories behind sure bet.

Bala Town vs The New Saints
The New Saints wins

1.27

Godoy Cruz vs Platense
Under 2.5

1.31

Stal Rzeszów vs Kotwica Kołobrzeg
Stal Rzeszów wins

1.33

Zulte Waregem vs KRC Genk II
Zulte Waregem wins

1.34

Zulte Waregem vs KRC Genk II
Over 2.5

1.35

Boca Juniors de Cali vs Patriotas Boyacá
Under 2.5

1.38

Deportivo Riestra vs Talleres de Córdoba
Under 2.5

1.40

De Graafschap vs AZ II
Over 2.5

1.40

Malaga vs Tenerife
Under 2.5

1.44

Bala Town vs The New Saints
Over 2.5

1.44

Godoy Cruz vs Platense
Both Team not to Score

1.47

Atlético Huila vs Cúcuta Deportivo
Under 2.5

1.47

Boulogne vs Paris 13 Atletico
Under 2.5

1.49

Villefranche Beaujolais vs Orléans
Under 2.5

1.49

Hertha Berlin vs Nürnberg
Both Team to Score

1.49

Stellenbosch vs Richards Bay
Under 2.5

1.49

De Graafschap vs AZ II
Both Team to Score

1.50

Hamburg vs Kaiserslautern
Over 2.5

1.51

Hamburg vs Kaiserslautern
Both Team to Score

1.51

Versailles vs Nîmes
Under 2.5

1.52

De Graafschap vs AZ II
De Graafschap wins

1.52

Mechelen vs Sint-Truiden
Over 2.5

1.53

Burnley vs Sheffield Wednesday
Under 2.5

1.53

Hertha Berlin vs Nürnberg
Over 2.5

1.53

Mechelen vs Sint-Truiden
Both Team to Score

1.55

Sporting Braga vs Nacional
Sporting Braga wins

1.55

Deportivo Riestra vs Talleres de Córdoba
Both Team not to Score

1.55

Boca Juniors de Cali vs Patriotas Boyacá
Both Team not to Score

1.55

Sportivo Luqueño vs 2 de Mayo
Under 2.5

1.55

Stellenbosch vs Richards Bay
Both Team not to Score

1.55

Helmond Sport vs Vitesse
Both Team to Score

1.55

Zulte Waregem vs KRC Genk II
Both Team to Score

1.57

RWDM vs Francs Borains
RWDM wins

1.57

Estudiantes vs Central Córdoba SdE
Under 2.5

1.57

Club Guaraní vs Deportivo Recoleta
Under 2.5

1.57

Telstar vs Excelsior
Both Team to Score

1.57

Haverfordwest County vs Cardiff MU
Under 2.5

1.57

Burnley vs Sheffield Wednesday
Both Team not to Score

1.58

Stal Rzeszów vs Kotwica Kołobrzeg
Over 2.5

1.58

Bourg-en-Bresse Péronnas vs Le Mans
Under 2.5

1.60

Lecce vs Udinese
Under 2.5

1.60

Roda JC vs Den Bosch
Both Team to Score

1.60

Malaga vs Tenerife
Both Team not to Score

1.61

Haverfordwest County vs Cardiff MU
Both Team not to Score

1.61

Dunkerque vs Clermont
Under 2.5

1.62

Dijon vs Nancy
Under 2.5

1.62

Châteauroux vs Rouen
Under 2.5

1.62

Boulogne vs Paris 13 Atletico
Both Team not to Score

1.63

Versailles vs Nîmes
Both Team not to Score

1.63

Estudiantes vs Central Córdoba SdE
Both Team not to Score

1.63

Unión Española vs Palestino
Both Team to Score

1.63

Atlético Huila vs Cúcuta Deportivo
Both Team not to Score

1.63

Helmond Sport vs Vitesse
Over 2.5

1.63

Roda JC vs Den Bosch
Over 2.5

1.63

Paris FC vs Troyes
Under 2.5

1.65

Villefranche Beaujolais vs Orléans
Both Team not to Score

1.65

Freiburg vs Werder Bremen
Both Team to Score

1.65

MTK vs Diósgyőr
Both Team to Score

1.65

Telstar vs Excelsior
Over 2.5

1.66

TOP Oss vs Emmen
Both Team to Score

1.66

Grenoble Foot 38 vs Guingamp
Under 2.5

1.68

Martigues vs Annecy
Under 2.5

1.68

Bastia vs Red Star
Under 2.5

1.68

Sochaux vs Aubagne
Under 2.5

1.68

Audax Italiano vs Deportes Iquique
Both Team to Score

1.68

Cuenca vs Aucas
Under 2.5

1.68

Haverfordwest County vs Cardiff MU
Haverfordwest County wins

1.68

Gzira United vs Marsaxlokk
Under 2.5

1.68

Bristol City vs Middlesbrough
Both Team to Score

1.70

Sporting Braga vs Nacional
Over 2.5

1.70

Celta Vigo vs Osasuna
Celta Vigo wins

1.70

Club Guaraní vs Deportivo Recoleta
Both Team not to Score

1.70

Paris FC vs Troyes
Both Team not to Score

1.71

Concarneau vs Valenciennes
Under 2.5

1.71

B 93 vs Hvidovre
Hvidovre wins

1.71

Rodez vs Amiens SC
Both Team to Score

1.72

B 93 vs Hvidovre
Over 2.5

1.72

B 93 vs Hvidovre
Both Team to Score

1.72

Hamburg vs Kaiserslautern
Hamburg wins

1.72

Sportivo Luqueño vs 2 de Mayo
Both Team not to Score

1.72

Bastia vs Red Star
Both Team not to Score

1.73

Châteauroux vs Rouen
Both Team not to Score

1.73

Sampdoria vs Sassuolo
Under 2.5

1.73

Unión Española vs Palestino
Over 2.5

1.73

Lyngby vs Randers
Under 2.5

1.73

Stellenbosch vs Richards Bay
Stellenbosch wins

1.73

Cliftonville vs Glentoran
Both Team to Score

1.73

Rodez vs Amiens SC
Rodez wins

1.75

Rodez vs Amiens SC
Over 2.5

1.75

Dunkerque vs Clermont
Both Team not to Score

1.75

Bastia vs Red Star
Bastia wins

1.75

Bourg-en-Bresse Péronnas vs Le Mans
Both Team not to Score

1.75

Sochaux vs Aubagne
Both Team not to Score

1.75

Hobro vs Vendsyssel
Under 2.5

1.75

TOP Oss vs Emmen
Over 2.5

1.75

Rennes vs Reims
Rennes wins

1.77

Paris FC vs Troyes
Paris FC wins

1.77

Sampdoria vs Sassuolo
Both Team to Score

1.77

Hillerød vs OB
Both Team to Score

1.77

Freiburg vs Werder Bremen
Over 2.5

1.77

Stal Rzeszów vs Kotwica Kołobrzeg
Both Team not to Score

1.77

Burnley vs Sheffield Wednesday
Burnley wins

1.78

Rennes vs Reims
Under 2.5

1.78

Dijon vs Nancy
Both Team not to Score

1.78

Lecce vs Udinese
Both Team not to Score

1.78

Bala Town vs The New Saints
Both Team to Score

1.78

MTK vs Diósgyőr
Over 2.5

1.79

Mechelen vs Sint-Truiden
Mechelen wins

1.80

RWDM vs Francs Borains
Over 2.5

1.80

Rennes vs Reims
Both Team not to Score

1.80

Sochaux vs Aubagne
Sochaux wins

1.80

Sporting Braga vs Nacional
Both Team to Score

1.80

Celta Vigo vs Osasuna
Under 2.5

1.80

Celta Vigo vs Osasuna
Both Team not to Score

1.80

Estudiantes vs Central Córdoba SdE
Estudiantes wins

1.80

Audax Italiano vs Deportes Iquique
Over 2.5

1.80

Hillerød vs OB
Under 2.5

1.80

Hobro vs Vendsyssel
Both Team to Score

1.80

Cliftonville vs Glentoran
Under 2.5

1.80

The first one is Bets which have a great possibility of chance to win with a lot of indicating factors are called sure bets according to various on betting industry. This bets are claimed as sure bets after going on through analysis of factors involved on the matches like recent forms, head to head history, squad news, fixtures and so on. Even if this bets have very likely chance of winning regards to possibility they can’t be confirmed as hundred percent win due to the nature of unexpected occurrence on events once in a while.

The other sure bet definition is used to refer bets which guarantee winnings regardless to outcomes of the event. This bets are also called arbitrage. This bets work on principle of mathematical formula to secure profits on bet whatever the final score says. It depends on exploiting bookmakers’ odd calculation difference from site to site. Bookmakers set odds based on their data and analysis on the particular event and there are times where these bookies have different perspective on some events possible outcome. So betting experts sniff around various sites to find this mathematical breach and they use the opportunity to set up different bets on opposite outcomes of same event with calculated stakes to bring of a little bit profit or stake return.  According to research the profit margins for Sure bets range between 1 and 3 %.

እርግጠኛ ውርርድ ማለት ምን ማለት ነው?

እርግጠኛ ውርርድ የሚባሉት ውርርዶች የማሸነፍ ዋስትና ያላቸው ወይም ከፍተኛ የማሸነፍ ዕድል ያላቸው የውርርድ አይነቶች ሲሆኑ  ነው፡፡ ስለነዚህ ውርርዶች ባህሪያት ለማየት ከመነሳታችን በፊት፣ ከተረጋገጡ ውርርዶች በስተጀርባ ያሉትን ሁለት የተለያዩ ሐሳቦች እንመልከት።

የመጀመርያው የተረጋገጡ ውርርድ በመባል የሚታወቁት በብዙ ትንተናዎች እና እይታዎች መሰረት በጣም ከፍተኛ የማሸነፍ እድል የተሰጣቸው ውርርዶች  ናቸው ። እነዚህ ውርርዶች የተረጋገጠ የማሸነፍ ዕድል አላቸው ለማለት የሚረዱ ዕይታዎች ማለትም የተጋጣሚዎች ወቅታዊ አቋም፣ ያለፉ የእርስ በርስ ግጥሚያዎች ታሪክ ፣ የቡድን ዜናዎች፣ የቅርብ ጨዋታ መርሃግብሮች እና ሌሎችም ከላይ ያልተካተቱትን ሁኔታዎች በመተንተን የመሆን ዕድላቸው በጣም የሰፉ ግምቶችን መወራረድ ማለት ነው ። ምንም እንኳን እነዚህ ውርርዶች የማሸነፍ እድላቸው ምንም ያህል ከፍተኛ ቢሆንም እንኳ መቶ በመቶ የማሸነፍ ዕድል አላቸው ብሎ መደምደም አይቻልም፡፡ ምክንያቱ ደግሞ አንዳንድ ጊዜ በስፖርት ዓለም ውስጥ ከግምት ውጭ ያልተጠበቁ ነገሮች የመከሰት ዕድል ስላላቸው ነው።

ሌላኛው የተረጋገጠ ውርርድ ትርጉም የሚሰጠው የጨዋታው ውጤት ምንም ይሁን ምን የተወራራጆችን አሸናፊነትን ለሚያረጋግጥ የውርርድ አይነት ለማመልከት ነው። ይህ ውርርድ አርቢትሬጅ ተብሎም ይጠራል። በዚህ የውርርድ አይነት የመጨረሻው ውጤት ምንም ይሁን ምን በውርርድ ላይ ትርፍ ለማግኘት የሚሰላ የሂሳብ ቀመር የያዘ ነው። ይህ ስልት በተፎካካሪ የውርርድ ድርጅቶች መካከል የሚፈጠርን የኦድ ካልኩሌሽን ክፍተት በመጠቀም ላይ የተመሰረተ ነው፡፡ የውርርድ ድርጅቶች በአንድ የተወሰነ ክስተት ላይ ባላቸው መረጃ እና ትንታኔ ተመስርተው ኦዶችን ያዘጋጃሉ፡፡ ታዲያ በዚህ ስሌታቸው ውስጥ አንዳንድ ጊዜ ለተመሳሳይ ክስተቶች የተለያየ ዕይታ እና ግምት የሚያስቀምጡበት ጊዜ አለ።

እነዚህን መሰል ክፍተቶች ለመጠቀም የውርርድ ባለሙያዎች በተለያዩ  የውርርድ ድርጅት ድረ-ገጾች ላይ ካሰሱ በኋላ የሚያገኙትን ዕድል ተጠቅመው ትንሽ ትርፍ ወይም ያስያዙትን ገንዘብ ተመላሽ ለማድረግ የሚያስችል የውርርድ ቀመር ያዘጋጃሉ፡፡ በተመሳሳይ ክስተት ውስጥ ያሉ ተቃራኒ ውጤቶች ላይ የተለያዩ የመደብ ገንዘቦችን በማስያዝ የተወሰነ ትርፍ ማግኘት ይችላሉ። በሂሳባዊ ስሌት መሰረት በዚህ የውርርድ አይነት ተወራራጆች ካስያዙት ገንዘብ መጠን ከ1 እስከ 3 በመቶ የሚደርስ ትርፍ ይገኛሉ።

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