Sure Wins – እርግጠኛ ውርርድ ማለት ምን ማለት ነው?

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Sure bets are terms used on betting worlds which are given for bets with guaranteed or high possibility of winning. Before we take off to look on sure bets characteristics, let see the two different theories behind sure bet.

Wehen Wiesbaden vs Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich wins

1.01

Agricola Borcea vs Argeș
Argeș wins

1.17

Nam Dinh vs PVF-CAND
Nam Dinh wins

1.18

Wehen Wiesbaden vs Bayern Munich
Over 2.5

1.22

Everton vs Mansfield Town
Everton wins

1.23

Sănătatea Cluj vs Unirea Slobozia
Unirea Slobozia wins

1.30

Muscelul Campulung Elite vs Metaloglobus
Metaloglobus wins

1.35

Jazz vs JJK
Both Team to Score

1.40

Wehen Wiesbaden vs Bayern Munich
Both Team not to Score

1.42

Jazz vs JJK
Over 2.5

1.44

Nam Dinh vs PVF-CAND
Both Team not to Score

1.50

Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Thanh Hóa
Under 2.5

1.50

Agricola Borcea vs Argeș
Both Team not to Score

1.50

Sănătatea Cluj vs Unirea Slobozia
Both Team not to Score

1.50

Unirea Alba Iulia vs Botoşani
Botoşani wins

1.50

Şoimii Gura Humorului vs Sepsi
Sepsi wins

1.53

Agricola Borcea vs Argeș
Over 2.5

1.55

Politehnica Iași vs Petrolul 52
Under 2.5

1.57

Everton vs Mansfield Town
Both Team not to Score

1.60

Voluntari vs Csikszereda
Under 2.5

1.60

Sochi vs Krasnodar
Krasnodar wins

1.62

Everton vs Mansfield Town
Over 2.5

1.62

Politehnica Iași vs Petrolul 52
Both Team not to Score

1.62

Rostov vs Dynamo Makhachkala
Under 2.5

1.63

Krylya Sovetov vs Dinamo Moscow
Both Team to Score

1.64

Nam Dinh vs PVF-CAND
Over 2.5

1.65

Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Thanh Hóa
Both Team not to Score

1.65

Muscelul Campulung Elite vs Metaloglobus
Over 2.5

1.65

Şoimii Gura Humorului vs Sepsi
Over 2.5

1.65

Kauno Zalgiris vs Hegelmann
Both Team to Score

1.67

Celta Vigo vs Real Betis
Both Team to Score

1.67

Baltika vs CSKA Moscow
Under 2.5

1.69

Hai Phong vs Song Lam Nghe An
Hai Phong wins

1.70

Metalul Buzău vs Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
Under 2.5

1.72

Kauno Zalgiris vs Hegelmann
Kauno Zalgiris wins

1.73

Kauno Zalgiris vs Hegelmann
Over 2.5

1.73

CSM Olimpia Satu Mare vs Slatina
Both Team to Score

1.73

Rostov vs Dynamo Makhachkala
Both Team not to Score

1.74

Sănătatea Cluj vs Unirea Slobozia
Under 2.5

1.75

Şoimii Gura Humorului vs Sepsi
Both Team to Score

1.75

Sporting Lieşti vs Afumaţi
Under 2.5

1.75

Unirea Alba Iulia vs Botoşani
Both Team not to Score

1.75

Politehnica Iași vs Petrolul 52
Petrolul 52 wins

1.75

Muscelul Campulung Elite vs Metaloglobus
Both Team not to Score

1.78

Sporting Lieşti vs Afumaţi
Both Team to Score

1.78

Hai Phong vs Song Lam Nghe An
Both Team to Score

1.80

Voluntari vs Csikszereda
Both Team not to Score

1.80

Metalul Buzău vs Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
Both Team to Score

1.80

The first one is Bets which have a great possibility of chance to win with a lot of indicating factors are called sure bets according to various on betting industry. This bets are claimed as sure bets after going on through analysis of factors involved on the matches like recent forms, head to head history, squad news, fixtures and so on. Even if this bets have very likely chance of winning regards to possibility they can’t be confirmed as hundred percent win due to the nature of unexpected occurrence on events once in a while.

The other sure bet definition is used to refer bets which guarantee winnings regardless to outcomes of the event. This bets are also called arbitrage. This bets work on principle of mathematical formula to secure profits on bet whatever the final score says. It depends on exploiting bookmakers’ odd calculation difference from site to site. Bookmakers set odds based on their data and analysis on the particular event and there are times where these bookies have different perspective on some events possible outcome. So betting experts sniff around various sites to find this mathematical breach and they use the opportunity to set up different bets on opposite outcomes of same event with calculated stakes to bring of a little bit profit or stake return.  According to research the profit margins for Sure bets range between 1 and 3 %.

እርግጠኛ ውርርድ ማለት ምን ማለት ነው?

እርግጠኛ ውርርድ የሚባሉት ውርርዶች የማሸነፍ ዋስትና ያላቸው ወይም ከፍተኛ የማሸነፍ ዕድል ያላቸው የውርርድ አይነቶች ሲሆኑ  ነው፡፡ ስለነዚህ ውርርዶች ባህሪያት ለማየት ከመነሳታችን በፊት፣ ከተረጋገጡ ውርርዶች በስተጀርባ ያሉትን ሁለት የተለያዩ ሐሳቦች እንመልከት።

የመጀመርያው የተረጋገጡ ውርርድ በመባል የሚታወቁት በብዙ ትንተናዎች እና እይታዎች መሰረት በጣም ከፍተኛ የማሸነፍ እድል የተሰጣቸው ውርርዶች  ናቸው ። እነዚህ ውርርዶች የተረጋገጠ የማሸነፍ ዕድል አላቸው ለማለት የሚረዱ ዕይታዎች ማለትም የተጋጣሚዎች ወቅታዊ አቋም፣ ያለፉ የእርስ በርስ ግጥሚያዎች ታሪክ ፣ የቡድን ዜናዎች፣ የቅርብ ጨዋታ መርሃግብሮች እና ሌሎችም ከላይ ያልተካተቱትን ሁኔታዎች በመተንተን የመሆን ዕድላቸው በጣም የሰፉ ግምቶችን መወራረድ ማለት ነው ። ምንም እንኳን እነዚህ ውርርዶች የማሸነፍ እድላቸው ምንም ያህል ከፍተኛ ቢሆንም እንኳ መቶ በመቶ የማሸነፍ ዕድል አላቸው ብሎ መደምደም አይቻልም፡፡ ምክንያቱ ደግሞ አንዳንድ ጊዜ በስፖርት ዓለም ውስጥ ከግምት ውጭ ያልተጠበቁ ነገሮች የመከሰት ዕድል ስላላቸው ነው።

ሌላኛው የተረጋገጠ ውርርድ ትርጉም የሚሰጠው የጨዋታው ውጤት ምንም ይሁን ምን የተወራራጆችን አሸናፊነትን ለሚያረጋግጥ የውርርድ አይነት ለማመልከት ነው። ይህ ውርርድ አርቢትሬጅ ተብሎም ይጠራል። በዚህ የውርርድ አይነት የመጨረሻው ውጤት ምንም ይሁን ምን በውርርድ ላይ ትርፍ ለማግኘት የሚሰላ የሂሳብ ቀመር የያዘ ነው። ይህ ስልት በተፎካካሪ የውርርድ ድርጅቶች መካከል የሚፈጠርን የኦድ ካልኩሌሽን ክፍተት በመጠቀም ላይ የተመሰረተ ነው፡፡ የውርርድ ድርጅቶች በአንድ የተወሰነ ክስተት ላይ ባላቸው መረጃ እና ትንታኔ ተመስርተው ኦዶችን ያዘጋጃሉ፡፡ ታዲያ በዚህ ስሌታቸው ውስጥ አንዳንድ ጊዜ ለተመሳሳይ ክስተቶች የተለያየ ዕይታ እና ግምት የሚያስቀምጡበት ጊዜ አለ።

እነዚህን መሰል ክፍተቶች ለመጠቀም የውርርድ ባለሙያዎች በተለያዩ  የውርርድ ድርጅት ድረ-ገጾች ላይ ካሰሱ በኋላ የሚያገኙትን ዕድል ተጠቅመው ትንሽ ትርፍ ወይም ያስያዙትን ገንዘብ ተመላሽ ለማድረግ የሚያስችል የውርርድ ቀመር ያዘጋጃሉ፡፡ በተመሳሳይ ክስተት ውስጥ ያሉ ተቃራኒ ውጤቶች ላይ የተለያዩ የመደብ ገንዘቦችን በማስያዝ የተወሰነ ትርፍ ማግኘት ይችላሉ። በሂሳባዊ ስሌት መሰረት በዚህ የውርርድ አይነት ተወራራጆች ካስያዙት ገንዘብ መጠን ከ1 እስከ 3 በመቶ የሚደርስ ትርፍ ይገኛሉ።

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