Sure Wins – እርግጠኛ ውርርድ ማለት ምን ማለት ነው?

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Sure bets are terms used on betting worlds which are given for bets with guaranteed or high possibility of winning. Before we take off to look on sure bets characteristics, let see the two different theories behind sure bet.

Khaitan vs Kuwait SC
Kuwait SC wins

1.13

Hartberg vs Triglav
Hartberg wins

1.28

Ajax II vs PSV II
Over 2.5

1.32

Khaitan vs Kuwait SC
Over 2.5

1.34

Hartberg vs Triglav
Over 2.5

1.35

Lokomotiv Moscow vs Shanghai Port
Over 2.5

1.37

Ajax II vs PSV II
Both Team to Score

1.37

Al Tadhamon vs Al Salmiyah
Over 2.5

1.37

Lokomotiv Moscow vs Shanghai Port
Both Team to Score

1.38

Al Tadhamon vs Al Salmiyah
Both Team to Score

1.39

Mirandes vs Malaga
Under 2.5

1.40

AIK vs Molde
Over 2.5

1.40

AIK vs Molde
Both Team to Score

1.40

Naft Al-Basra vs Zakho
Under 2.5

1.42

Naft Al-Basra vs Zakho
Both Team not to Score

1.44

Hapoel Ra'anana vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
Hapoel Tel Aviv wins

1.47

Puskas vs Hammarby
Both Team to Score

1.51

Boavista vs Casa Pia
Under 2.5

1.53

Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Acre
Hapoel Petah Tikva wins

1.53

Mirandes vs Malaga
Both Team not to Score

1.55

Puskas vs Hammarby
Over 2.5

1.55

Roda JC vs Cambuur
Both Team to Score

1.55

Panserraikos vs Lamia
Under 2.5

1.57

Utrecht II vs De Graafschap
Over 2.5

1.57

Wolfsberger AC vs Slovan Liberec
Both Team to Score

1.58

Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Hapoel Ramat Gan
Both Team to Score

1.58

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon vs Kafr Qasim
Both Team to Score

1.58

Hapoel Hadera vs Ironi Tiberias
Under 2.5

1.61

Roda JC vs Cambuur
Over 2.5

1.61

Utrecht II vs De Graafschap
Both Team to Score

1.61

Gençlerbirliği vs Kocaelispor
Under 2.5

1.62

Hartberg vs Triglav
Both Team to Score

1.63

Utrecht II vs De Graafschap
De Graafschap wins

1.63

AEK Larnaca vs APOEL
Under 2.5

1.65

Troyes vs Annecy
Under 2.5

1.65

Naft Al-Basra vs Zakho
Zakho wins

1.65

Wolfsberger AC vs Slovan Liberec
Over 2.5

1.66

Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Hapoel Ramat Gan
Over 2.5

1.66

Dundee vs Dundee United
Both Team to Score

1.66

Panserraikos vs Lamia
Both Team not to Score

1.68

Al Ittifaq vs Al Ahli
Al Ahli wins

1.68

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon vs Kafr Qasim
Over 2.5

1.68

Boavista vs Casa Pia
Both Team not to Score

1.70

Ajax II vs PSV II
Ajax II wins

1.70

Como vs Udinese
Under 2.5

1.72

Al Feiha vs Al Kholood
Under 2.5

1.72

Hapoel Haifa vs Ashdod
Under 2.5

1.72

Villarreal vs Mallorca
Under 2.5

1.73

Slask Wroclaw vs Olimpija
Both Team to Score

1.73

Khaitan vs Kuwait SC
Both Team not to Score

1.74

Al Raed vs Al Akhdoud
Under 2.5

1.75

Hapoel Ra'anana vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
Over 2.5

1.75

Villarreal vs Mallorca
Villarreal wins

1.77

Villarreal vs Mallorca
Both Team not to Score

1.77

Gençlerbirliği vs Kocaelispor
Both Team not to Score

1.77

Al Raed vs Al Akhdoud
Both Team to Score

1.78

Al Ittifaq vs Al Ahli
Both Team to Score

1.78

Hapoel Hadera vs Ironi Tiberias
Both Team not to Score

1.78

Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Acre
Both Team not to Score

1.78

Dundee vs Dundee United
Over 2.5

1.78

Al Tadhamon vs Al Salmiyah
Al Salmiyah wins

1.78

Troyes vs Annecy
Both Team not to Score

1.80

Al Feiha vs Al Kholood
Both Team to Score

1.80

Al Ittifaq vs Al Ahli
Over 2.5

1.80

Hapoel Ra'anana vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
Both Team not to Score

1.80

The first one is Bets which have a great possibility of chance to win with a lot of indicating factors are called sure bets according to various on betting industry. This bets are claimed as sure bets after going on through analysis of factors involved on the matches like recent forms, head to head history, squad news, fixtures and so on. Even if this bets have very likely chance of winning regards to possibility they can’t be confirmed as hundred percent win due to the nature of unexpected occurrence on events once in a while.

The other sure bet definition is used to refer bets which guarantee winnings regardless to outcomes of the event. This bets are also called arbitrage. This bets work on principle of mathematical formula to secure profits on bet whatever the final score says. It depends on exploiting bookmakers’ odd calculation difference from site to site. Bookmakers set odds based on their data and analysis on the particular event and there are times where these bookies have different perspective on some events possible outcome. So betting experts sniff around various sites to find this mathematical breach and they use the opportunity to set up different bets on opposite outcomes of same event with calculated stakes to bring of a little bit profit or stake return.  According to research the profit margins for Sure bets range between 1 and 3 %.

እርግጠኛ ውርርድ ማለት ምን ማለት ነው?

እርግጠኛ ውርርድ የሚባሉት ውርርዶች የማሸነፍ ዋስትና ያላቸው ወይም ከፍተኛ የማሸነፍ ዕድል ያላቸው የውርርድ አይነቶች ሲሆኑ  ነው፡፡ ስለነዚህ ውርርዶች ባህሪያት ለማየት ከመነሳታችን በፊት፣ ከተረጋገጡ ውርርዶች በስተጀርባ ያሉትን ሁለት የተለያዩ ሐሳቦች እንመልከት።

የመጀመርያው የተረጋገጡ ውርርድ በመባል የሚታወቁት በብዙ ትንተናዎች እና እይታዎች መሰረት በጣም ከፍተኛ የማሸነፍ እድል የተሰጣቸው ውርርዶች  ናቸው ። እነዚህ ውርርዶች የተረጋገጠ የማሸነፍ ዕድል አላቸው ለማለት የሚረዱ ዕይታዎች ማለትም የተጋጣሚዎች ወቅታዊ አቋም፣ ያለፉ የእርስ በርስ ግጥሚያዎች ታሪክ ፣ የቡድን ዜናዎች፣ የቅርብ ጨዋታ መርሃግብሮች እና ሌሎችም ከላይ ያልተካተቱትን ሁኔታዎች በመተንተን የመሆን ዕድላቸው በጣም የሰፉ ግምቶችን መወራረድ ማለት ነው ። ምንም እንኳን እነዚህ ውርርዶች የማሸነፍ እድላቸው ምንም ያህል ከፍተኛ ቢሆንም እንኳ መቶ በመቶ የማሸነፍ ዕድል አላቸው ብሎ መደምደም አይቻልም፡፡ ምክንያቱ ደግሞ አንዳንድ ጊዜ በስፖርት ዓለም ውስጥ ከግምት ውጭ ያልተጠበቁ ነገሮች የመከሰት ዕድል ስላላቸው ነው።

ሌላኛው የተረጋገጠ ውርርድ ትርጉም የሚሰጠው የጨዋታው ውጤት ምንም ይሁን ምን የተወራራጆችን አሸናፊነትን ለሚያረጋግጥ የውርርድ አይነት ለማመልከት ነው። ይህ ውርርድ አርቢትሬጅ ተብሎም ይጠራል። በዚህ የውርርድ አይነት የመጨረሻው ውጤት ምንም ይሁን ምን በውርርድ ላይ ትርፍ ለማግኘት የሚሰላ የሂሳብ ቀመር የያዘ ነው። ይህ ስልት በተፎካካሪ የውርርድ ድርጅቶች መካከል የሚፈጠርን የኦድ ካልኩሌሽን ክፍተት በመጠቀም ላይ የተመሰረተ ነው፡፡ የውርርድ ድርጅቶች በአንድ የተወሰነ ክስተት ላይ ባላቸው መረጃ እና ትንታኔ ተመስርተው ኦዶችን ያዘጋጃሉ፡፡ ታዲያ በዚህ ስሌታቸው ውስጥ አንዳንድ ጊዜ ለተመሳሳይ ክስተቶች የተለያየ ዕይታ እና ግምት የሚያስቀምጡበት ጊዜ አለ።

እነዚህን መሰል ክፍተቶች ለመጠቀም የውርርድ ባለሙያዎች በተለያዩ  የውርርድ ድርጅት ድረ-ገጾች ላይ ካሰሱ በኋላ የሚያገኙትን ዕድል ተጠቅመው ትንሽ ትርፍ ወይም ያስያዙትን ገንዘብ ተመላሽ ለማድረግ የሚያስችል የውርርድ ቀመር ያዘጋጃሉ፡፡ በተመሳሳይ ክስተት ውስጥ ያሉ ተቃራኒ ውጤቶች ላይ የተለያዩ የመደብ ገንዘቦችን በማስያዝ የተወሰነ ትርፍ ማግኘት ይችላሉ። በሂሳባዊ ስሌት መሰረት በዚህ የውርርድ አይነት ተወራራጆች ካስያዙት ገንዘብ መጠን ከ1 እስከ 3 በመቶ የሚደርስ ትርፍ ይገኛሉ።

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