Sure Wins – እርግጠኛ ውርርድ ማለት ምን ማለት ነው?

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Sure bets are terms used on betting worlds which are given for bets with guaranteed or high possibility of winning. Before we take off to look on sure bets characteristics, let see the two different theories behind sure bet.

TB vs NSÍ
NSÍ wins

1.06

TB vs NSÍ
Over 2.5

1.17

JBK vs TP-47
Over 2.5

1.23

Sevastopol vs Spartak Nal'chik
Sevastopol wins

1.25

JBK vs TP-47
Both Team to Score

1.27

Aktobe vs Atyrau
Both Team not to Score

1.32

Riteriai vs Kauno Zalgiris
Kauno Zalgiris wins

1.32

Los Andes vs Colegiales
Under 2.5

1.33

HK vs Völsungur
Over 2.5

1.33

Aktobe vs Atyrau
Aktobe wins

1.33

Villa Dálmine vs Sportivo Italiano
Under 2.5

1.33

San Miguel vs Deportivo Madryn
Under 2.5

1.34

Flandria vs UAI Urquiza
Under 2.5

1.34

HK vs Völsungur
HK wins

1.35

Ferro Carril Oeste vs Gimnasia y Tiro
Under 2.5

1.36

Dinamo Bryansk vs Rodina Moskva III
Dinamo Bryansk wins

1.36

Kvant vs Ryazan
Ryazan wins

1.36

Brown de Adrogué vs Acassuso
Under 2.5

1.36

San Telmo vs Estudiantes Río Cuarto
Under 2.5

1.37

Nart Cherkessk vs Angusht
Nart Cherkessk wins

1.37

Argentino Quilmes vs Midland
Under 2.5

1.37

Hammarby vs Värnamo
Hammarby wins

1.38

Comunicaciones vs Deportivo Merlo
Under 2.5

1.38

Almagro vs Deportivo Maipú
Under 2.5

1.41

Trans vs Kuressaare
Trans wins

1.41

ÍA vs Fram
Both Team to Score

1.43

Zhenys vs Ulytau
Both Team not to Score

1.43

Sevastopol vs Spartak Nal'chik
Over 2.5

1.43

San Miguel vs Deportivo Madryn
Both Team not to Score

1.44

Auda vs FS Jelgava
Auda wins

1.44

Remo vs Cuiabá
Under 2.5

1.44

Los Andes vs Colegiales
Both Team not to Score

1.46

Ferro Carril Oeste vs Gimnasia y Tiro
Both Team not to Score

1.46

ÍA vs Fram
Over 2.5

1.46

SJK vs Ilves
Both Team to Score

1.46

Flandria vs UAI Urquiza
Both Team not to Score

1.46

Liniers vs Dock Sud
Under 2.5

1.46

Charlotte vs Orlando City
Both Team to Score

1.47

Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire
Over 2.5

1.47

SJK vs Ilves
Over 2.5

1.47

Dinamo Stavropol vs Rostov II
Dinamo Stavropol wins

1.47

Deportivo Armenio vs Sacachispas
Under 2.5

1.47

Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire
Both Team to Score

1.49

Montréal vs Inter Miami
Both Team to Score

1.49

Suduroy vs 07 Vestur
Both Team to Score

1.49

Argentino Merlo vs Excursionistas
Under 2.5

1.49

Villa Dálmine vs Sportivo Italiano
Both Team not to Score

1.49

HK vs Völsungur
Both Team to Score

1.50

Trans vs Kuressaare
Over 2.5

1.50

Amazonas vs Athletico Paranaense
Under 2.5

1.50

Kvant vs Ryazan
Over 2.5

1.50

Brown de Adrogué vs Acassuso
Both Team not to Score

1.50

Montréal vs Inter Miami
Over 2.5

1.51

Suduroy vs 07 Vestur
Over 2.5

1.51

Auda vs FS Jelgava
Over 2.5

1.51

Charlotte vs Orlando City
Over 2.5

1.52

ÍBV vs Víkingur Reykjavík
Over 2.5

1.52

Almagro vs Deportivo Maipú
Both Team not to Score

1.53

San Telmo vs Estudiantes Río Cuarto
Both Team not to Score

1.53

Vestri vs Valur
Over 2.5

1.53

Mushuc Runa vs Universidad Católica
Both Team to Score

1.53

Strogino vs Zenit Penza
Both Team to Score

1.53

Argentino Quilmes vs Midland
Both Team not to Score

1.53

Comunicaciones vs Deportivo Merlo
Both Team not to Score

1.53

Deportivo Armenio vs Sacachispas
Both Team not to Score

1.53

Avaí vs Paysandu
Under 2.5

1.55

Smorgon vs Gomel
Gomel wins

1.55

Rotor Volgograd II vs Salyut-Belgorod
Salyut-Belgorod wins

1.55

KPV vs Tampere United
Both Team to Score

1.55

Fénix vs Real Pilar
Under 2.5

1.55

D.C. United\t vs Atlanta United
Both Team to Score

1.57

VPS vs HJK
Over 2.5

1.57

VPS vs HJK
Both Team to Score

1.57

Zhenys vs Ulytau
Under 2.5

1.57

Sochi II vs Kuban Pavlovskaya
Both Team to Score

1.57

Vestri vs Valur
Both Team to Score

1.58

ÍBV vs Víkingur Reykjavík
Both Team to Score

1.58

Nart Cherkessk vs Angusht
Both Team not to Score

1.58

B68 vs EB / Streymur
Both Team to Score

1.60

Emelec vs Cuniburo
Emelec wins

1.60

Cienciano vs Sporting Cristal
Both Team to Score

1.60

Avaí vs Paysandu
Both Team not to Score

1.60

Strogino vs Zenit Penza
Over 2.5

1.60

Riteriai vs Kauno Zalgiris
Both Team not to Score

1.60

Liniers vs Dock Sud
Both Team not to Score

1.60

Cienciano vs Sporting Cristal
Over 2.5

1.61

Remo vs Cuiabá
Both Team not to Score

1.61

ÍBV vs Víkingur Reykjavík
Víkingur Reykjavík wins

1.62

Mushuc Runa vs Universidad Católica
Over 2.5

1.62

Unión Española vs Universidad de Chile
Universidad de Chile wins

1.62

FCSB vs CFR Cluj
Under 2.5

1.62

D.C. United\t vs Atlanta United
Over 2.5

1.63

Hammarby vs Värnamo
Over 2.5

1.63

Amazonas vs Athletico Paranaense
Both Team not to Score

1.63

KPV vs Tampere United
Over 2.5

1.63

Riteriai vs Kauno Zalgiris
Over 2.5

1.63

Argentino Merlo vs Excursionistas
Both Team not to Score

1.63

Fénix vs Real Pilar
Both Team not to Score

1.63

Druzhba vs Legion Dynamo
Both Team to Score

1.64

Sochi II vs Kuban Pavlovskaya
Over 2.5

1.64

Vestri vs Valur
Valur wins

1.65

Aktobe vs Atyrau
Over 2.5

1.65

Yelimay Semey vs Tobol
Under 2.5

1.65

B68 vs EB / Streymur
Over 2.5

1.66

Emelec vs Cuniburo
Both Team not to Score

1.66

Unión Española vs Universidad de Chile
Over 2.5

1.66

Emelec vs Cuniburo
Under 2.5

1.68

Öster vs Mjällby
Mjällby wins

1.68

Trans vs Kuressaare
Both Team to Score

1.68

Auda vs FS Jelgava
Both Team to Score

1.68

Smorgon vs Gomel
Both Team not to Score

1.68

BATE vs Minsk
Both Team to Score

1.70

Dinamo Bryansk vs Rodina Moskva III
Over 2.5

1.70

Kvant vs Ryazan
Both Team to Score

1.70

Druzhba vs Legion Dynamo
Over 2.5

1.70

Hegelmann vs FA Šiauliai
Both Team to Score

1.70

Alianza Universidad vs Alianza Atlético
Under 2.5

1.71

Comerciantes Unidos vs Ayacucho
Both Team to Score

1.71

Avaí vs Paysandu
Avaí wins

1.71

Pobeda RU vs Astrakhan
Both Team to Score

1.71

Rotor Volgograd II vs Salyut-Belgorod
Over 2.5

1.72

Real Tomayapo vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo
Both Team to Score

1.72

Unión Española vs Universidad de Chile
Both Team to Score

1.73

Smorgon vs Gomel
Under 2.5

1.73

Druzhba vs Legion Dynamo
Druzhba wins

1.73

Deportivo Armenio vs Sacachispas
Deportivo Armenio wins

1.73

Rotor Volgograd II vs Salyut-Belgorod
Both Team to Score

1.74

Nart Cherkessk vs Angusht
Under 2.5

1.74

TB vs NSÍ
Both Team to Score

1.75

GAIS vs Malmö
Both Team to Score

1.75

Hegelmann vs FA Šiauliai
Over 2.5

1.75

Dinamo Stavropol vs Rostov II
Both Team not to Score

1.76

Cienciano vs Sporting Cristal
Cienciano wins

1.77

Hammarby vs Värnamo
Both Team not to Score

1.77

GAIS vs Malmö
Under 2.5

1.77

Slavia vs Vitebsk
Both Team to Score

1.77

BATE vs Minsk
Over 2.5

1.77

Dinamo Bryansk vs Rodina Moskva III
Both Team not to Score

1.77

Fénix vs Real Pilar
Real Pilar wins

1.77

Sevastopol vs Spartak Nal'chik
Both Team to Score

1.78

Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire
Cincinnati wins

1.80

Alianza Universidad vs Alianza Atlético
Both Team to Score

1.80

Öster vs Mjällby
Over 2.5

1.80

JBK vs TP-47
JBK wins

1.80

Real Tomayapo vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo
Over 2.5

1.80

FCSB vs CFR Cluj
Both Team not to Score

1.80

The first one is Bets which have a great possibility of chance to win with a lot of indicating factors are called sure bets according to various on betting industry. This bets are claimed as sure bets after going on through analysis of factors involved on the matches like recent forms, head to head history, squad news, fixtures and so on. Even if this bets have very likely chance of winning regards to possibility they can’t be confirmed as hundred percent win due to the nature of unexpected occurrence on events once in a while.

The other sure bet definition is used to refer bets which guarantee winnings regardless to outcomes of the event. This bets are also called arbitrage. This bets work on principle of mathematical formula to secure profits on bet whatever the final score says. It depends on exploiting bookmakers’ odd calculation difference from site to site. Bookmakers set odds based on their data and analysis on the particular event and there are times where these bookies have different perspective on some events possible outcome. So betting experts sniff around various sites to find this mathematical breach and they use the opportunity to set up different bets on opposite outcomes of same event with calculated stakes to bring of a little bit profit or stake return.  According to research the profit margins for Sure bets range between 1 and 3 %.

እርግጠኛ ውርርድ ማለት ምን ማለት ነው?

እርግጠኛ ውርርድ የሚባሉት ውርርዶች የማሸነፍ ዋስትና ያላቸው ወይም ከፍተኛ የማሸነፍ ዕድል ያላቸው የውርርድ አይነቶች ሲሆኑ  ነው፡፡ ስለነዚህ ውርርዶች ባህሪያት ለማየት ከመነሳታችን በፊት፣ ከተረጋገጡ ውርርዶች በስተጀርባ ያሉትን ሁለት የተለያዩ ሐሳቦች እንመልከት።

የመጀመርያው የተረጋገጡ ውርርድ በመባል የሚታወቁት በብዙ ትንተናዎች እና እይታዎች መሰረት በጣም ከፍተኛ የማሸነፍ እድል የተሰጣቸው ውርርዶች  ናቸው ። እነዚህ ውርርዶች የተረጋገጠ የማሸነፍ ዕድል አላቸው ለማለት የሚረዱ ዕይታዎች ማለትም የተጋጣሚዎች ወቅታዊ አቋም፣ ያለፉ የእርስ በርስ ግጥሚያዎች ታሪክ ፣ የቡድን ዜናዎች፣ የቅርብ ጨዋታ መርሃግብሮች እና ሌሎችም ከላይ ያልተካተቱትን ሁኔታዎች በመተንተን የመሆን ዕድላቸው በጣም የሰፉ ግምቶችን መወራረድ ማለት ነው ። ምንም እንኳን እነዚህ ውርርዶች የማሸነፍ እድላቸው ምንም ያህል ከፍተኛ ቢሆንም እንኳ መቶ በመቶ የማሸነፍ ዕድል አላቸው ብሎ መደምደም አይቻልም፡፡ ምክንያቱ ደግሞ አንዳንድ ጊዜ በስፖርት ዓለም ውስጥ ከግምት ውጭ ያልተጠበቁ ነገሮች የመከሰት ዕድል ስላላቸው ነው።

ሌላኛው የተረጋገጠ ውርርድ ትርጉም የሚሰጠው የጨዋታው ውጤት ምንም ይሁን ምን የተወራራጆችን አሸናፊነትን ለሚያረጋግጥ የውርርድ አይነት ለማመልከት ነው። ይህ ውርርድ አርቢትሬጅ ተብሎም ይጠራል። በዚህ የውርርድ አይነት የመጨረሻው ውጤት ምንም ይሁን ምን በውርርድ ላይ ትርፍ ለማግኘት የሚሰላ የሂሳብ ቀመር የያዘ ነው። ይህ ስልት በተፎካካሪ የውርርድ ድርጅቶች መካከል የሚፈጠርን የኦድ ካልኩሌሽን ክፍተት በመጠቀም ላይ የተመሰረተ ነው፡፡ የውርርድ ድርጅቶች በአንድ የተወሰነ ክስተት ላይ ባላቸው መረጃ እና ትንታኔ ተመስርተው ኦዶችን ያዘጋጃሉ፡፡ ታዲያ በዚህ ስሌታቸው ውስጥ አንዳንድ ጊዜ ለተመሳሳይ ክስተቶች የተለያየ ዕይታ እና ግምት የሚያስቀምጡበት ጊዜ አለ።

እነዚህን መሰል ክፍተቶች ለመጠቀም የውርርድ ባለሙያዎች በተለያዩ  የውርርድ ድርጅት ድረ-ገጾች ላይ ካሰሱ በኋላ የሚያገኙትን ዕድል ተጠቅመው ትንሽ ትርፍ ወይም ያስያዙትን ገንዘብ ተመላሽ ለማድረግ የሚያስችል የውርርድ ቀመር ያዘጋጃሉ፡፡ በተመሳሳይ ክስተት ውስጥ ያሉ ተቃራኒ ውጤቶች ላይ የተለያዩ የመደብ ገንዘቦችን በማስያዝ የተወሰነ ትርፍ ማግኘት ይችላሉ። በሂሳባዊ ስሌት መሰረት በዚህ የውርርድ አይነት ተወራራጆች ካስያዙት ገንዘብ መጠን ከ1 እስከ 3 በመቶ የሚደርስ ትርፍ ይገኛሉ።

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