Sure Wins – እርግጠኛ ውርርድ ማለት ምን ማለት ነው?

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Sure bets are terms used on betting worlds which are given for bets with guaranteed or high possibility of winning. Before we take off to look on sure bets characteristics, let see the two different theories behind sure bet.

Astana vs Okzhetpes
Astana wins

1.25

Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Garcilaso
Sporting Cristal wins

1.28

OLS vs Inter Turku II
Over 2.5

1.28

OLS vs Inter Turku II
Both Team to Score

1.29

Alvarado vs Colegiales
Under 2.5

1.31

Defensores Unidos vs Mitre Santiago d. Estero
Under 2.5

1.33

Fagiano Okayama vs Avispa Fukuoka
Under 2.5

1.34

All Boys vs Arsenal
Under 2.5

1.35

Deportivo Madryn vs Atlanta
Under 2.5

1.36

Bolívar vs Always Ready
Over 2.5

1.36

Bolívar vs Always Ready
Both Team to Score

1.36

Club Atlético Güemes vs Ferro Carril Oeste
Under 2.5

1.38

Patronato vs Los Andes
Under 2.5

1.40

KuPS Akatemia vs RoPS
Both Team to Score

1.40

Afturelding vs ÍA
Both Team to Score

1.42

Deportivo Madryn vs Atlanta
Both Team not to Score

1.43

San Telmo vs Nueva Chicago
Under 2.5

1.43

ÍBV vs Breidablik
Over 2.5

1.43

KuPS Akatemia vs RoPS
Over 2.5

1.43

Fram vs FH
Both Team to Score

1.44

Afturelding vs ÍA
Over 2.5

1.44

Atlético Goianiense vs Coritiba
Under 2.5

1.44

Oriente Petrolero vs Jorge Wilstermann
Oriente Petrolero wins

1.44

Oita Trinita vs Blaublitz Akita
Under 2.5

1.46

Alvarado vs Colegiales
Both Team not to Score

1.46

All Boys vs Arsenal
Both Team not to Score

1.46

ÍBV vs Breidablik
Both Team to Score

1.46

Tokushima Vortis vs JEF United
Under 2.5

1.47

Defensores Unidos vs Mitre Santiago d. Estero
Both Team not to Score

1.47

Fram vs FH
Over 2.5

1.47

Novorizontino vs Cuiabá
Under 2.5

1.47

Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol
Under 2.5

1.49

Fagiano Okayama vs Avispa Fukuoka
Both Team not to Score

1.50

Delfin vs Mushuc Runa
Under 2.5

1.50

Criciúma vs Amazonas
Under 2.5

1.50

MP vs Tampere United
Both Team to Score

1.50

Patronato vs Los Andes
Both Team not to Score

1.51

Independiente Medellín vs Deportes Tolima
Under 2.5

1.51

Naftan vs Slavia
Slavia wins

1.52

Renofa Yamaguchi vs Iwaki
Under 2.5

1.53

Club Atlético Güemes vs Ferro Carril Oeste
Both Team not to Score

1.53

Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus
Under 2.5

1.55

Egersund vs Ranheim
Both Team to Score

1.55

Criciúma vs Amazonas
Both Team not to Score

1.55

Bodø / Glimt vs AIK
Both Team to Score

1.55

Albirex Niigata vs Yokohama F. Marinos
Both Team to Score

1.57

Técnico Universitario vs Aucas
Under 2.5

1.57

Ayacucho vs Universitario
Universitario wins

1.57

Aalesund vs Stabæk
Both Team to Score

1.57

Astana vs Okzhetpes
Both Team not to Score

1.57

Bodø / Glimt vs AIK
Over 2.5

1.57

Independiente Medellín vs Deportes Tolima
Both Team not to Score

1.57

Oriente Petrolero vs Jorge Wilstermann
Over 2.5

1.57

Atlético Goianiense vs Coritiba
Both Team not to Score

1.58

Novorizontino vs Cuiabá
Both Team not to Score

1.58

MP vs Tampere United
Over 2.5

1.58

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Omiya Ardija
Both Team to Score

1.60

Oita Trinita vs Blaublitz Akita
Both Team not to Score

1.60

San Telmo vs Nueva Chicago
Both Team not to Score

1.60

Delfin vs Mushuc Runa
Both Team not to Score

1.60

Mjøndalen vs Moss
Both Team to Score

1.60

Nõmme Kalju vs Trans
Over 2.5

1.60

Ventforet Kofu vs Roasso Kumamoto
Under 2.5

1.61

Deportivo Binacional vs Alianza Universidad
Both Team to Score

1.61

Nõmme Kalju vs Trans
Both Team to Score

1.61

Júbilo Iwata vs Ehime
Júbilo Iwata wins

1.62

Start vs Lyn
Both Team to Score

1.62

Egersund vs Ranheim
Over 2.5

1.62

Raufoss vs Odd
Both Team to Score

1.62

Aalesund vs Stabæk
Over 2.5

1.62

Sampdoria vs Salernitana
Under 2.5

1.62

Albirex Niigata vs Yokohama F. Marinos
Over 2.5

1.63

Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai
Under 2.5

1.63

Tokushima Vortis vs JEF United
Both Team not to Score

1.63

Vitebsk vs Smorgon
Vitebsk wins

1.63

Ordabasy vs Yelimay Semey
Under 2.5

1.64

Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus
Both Team not to Score

1.65

Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Garcilaso
Over 2.5

1.65

Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Garcilaso
Both Team not to Score

1.65

Åsane vs Skeid
Both Team to Score

1.65

Astana vs Okzhetpes
Over 2.5

1.65

Oriente Petrolero vs Jorge Wilstermann
Both Team to Score

1.65

Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol
Both Team not to Score

1.66

Vestri vs KA
Both Team to Score

1.66

Nõmme Kalju vs Trans
Nõmme Kalju wins

1.66

Qingdao Red Lions vs Shaanxi Union
Under 2.5

1.66

Start vs Lyn
Over 2.5

1.67

Mjøndalen vs Moss
Over 2.5

1.67

Åsane vs Skeid
Åsane wins

1.67

Bolívar vs Always Ready
Bolívar wins

1.67

Júbilo Iwata vs Ehime
Over 2.5

1.68

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Omiya Ardija
Over 2.5

1.68

O'Higgins vs Unión Española
Both Team to Score

1.68

Deportivo Binacional vs Alianza Universidad
Over 2.5

1.68

Ayacucho vs Universitario
Both Team not to Score

1.68

Vitebsk vs Smorgon
Under 2.5

1.68

Vitebsk vs Smorgon
Both Team not to Score

1.68

Isloch vs ML Rogachev
ML Rogachev wins

1.68

Renofa Yamaguchi vs Iwaki
Both Team not to Score

1.70

Åsane vs Skeid
Over 2.5

1.70

Guangzhou E-Power vs Suzhou Dongwu
Under 2.5

1.70

Shenzhen Juniors vs Hebei Kungfu
Hebei Kungfu wins

1.71

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka
Both Team to Score

1.72

Kataller Toyama vs Fujieda MYFC
Under 2.5

1.72

Júbilo Iwata vs Ehime
Both Team to Score

1.72

Coquimbo Unido vs Universidad de Chile
Under 2.5

1.72

O'Higgins vs Unión Española
Over 2.5

1.72

Ayacucho vs Universitario
Under 2.5

1.72

Kaisar vs Tobol
Under 2.5

1.72

Criciúma vs Amazonas
Criciúma wins

1.72

Raufoss vs Odd
Over 2.5

1.73

Isloch vs ML Rogachev
Under 2.5

1.73

Independiente Medellín vs Deportes Tolima
Independiente Medellín wins

1.73

Consadole Sapporo vs Imabari
Both Team to Score

1.75

ÍBV vs Breidablik
Breidablik wins

1.75

Técnico Universitario vs Aucas
Both Team not to Score

1.75

Naftan vs Slavia
Both Team not to Score

1.75

Heilongjiang Ice City vs Nanjing City
Both Team to Score

1.75

Ventforet Kofu vs Roasso Kumamoto
Both Team not to Score

1.77

Isloch vs ML Rogachev
Both Team not to Score

1.77

Qingdao Red Lions vs Shaanxi Union
Both Team not to Score

1.77

Sampdoria vs Salernitana
Both Team not to Score

1.77

Consadole Sapporo vs Imabari
Under 2.5

1.78

Vestri vs KA
Over 2.5

1.78

Heilongjiang Ice City vs Nanjing City
Under 2.5

1.78

Bodø / Glimt vs AIK
Bodø / Glimt wins

1.78

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka
Under 2.5

1.80

Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai
Both Team not to Score

1.80

Kataller Toyama vs Fujieda MYFC
Both Team to Score

1.80

Coquimbo Unido vs Universidad de Chile
Both Team to Score

1.80

Start vs Lyn
Start wins

1.80

The first one is Bets which have a great possibility of chance to win with a lot of indicating factors are called sure bets according to various on betting industry. This bets are claimed as sure bets after going on through analysis of factors involved on the matches like recent forms, head to head history, squad news, fixtures and so on. Even if this bets have very likely chance of winning regards to possibility they can’t be confirmed as hundred percent win due to the nature of unexpected occurrence on events once in a while.

The other sure bet definition is used to refer bets which guarantee winnings regardless to outcomes of the event. This bets are also called arbitrage. This bets work on principle of mathematical formula to secure profits on bet whatever the final score says. It depends on exploiting bookmakers’ odd calculation difference from site to site. Bookmakers set odds based on their data and analysis on the particular event and there are times where these bookies have different perspective on some events possible outcome. So betting experts sniff around various sites to find this mathematical breach and they use the opportunity to set up different bets on opposite outcomes of same event with calculated stakes to bring of a little bit profit or stake return.  According to research the profit margins for Sure bets range between 1 and 3 %.

እርግጠኛ ውርርድ ማለት ምን ማለት ነው?

እርግጠኛ ውርርድ የሚባሉት ውርርዶች የማሸነፍ ዋስትና ያላቸው ወይም ከፍተኛ የማሸነፍ ዕድል ያላቸው የውርርድ አይነቶች ሲሆኑ  ነው፡፡ ስለነዚህ ውርርዶች ባህሪያት ለማየት ከመነሳታችን በፊት፣ ከተረጋገጡ ውርርዶች በስተጀርባ ያሉትን ሁለት የተለያዩ ሐሳቦች እንመልከት።

የመጀመርያው የተረጋገጡ ውርርድ በመባል የሚታወቁት በብዙ ትንተናዎች እና እይታዎች መሰረት በጣም ከፍተኛ የማሸነፍ እድል የተሰጣቸው ውርርዶች  ናቸው ። እነዚህ ውርርዶች የተረጋገጠ የማሸነፍ ዕድል አላቸው ለማለት የሚረዱ ዕይታዎች ማለትም የተጋጣሚዎች ወቅታዊ አቋም፣ ያለፉ የእርስ በርስ ግጥሚያዎች ታሪክ ፣ የቡድን ዜናዎች፣ የቅርብ ጨዋታ መርሃግብሮች እና ሌሎችም ከላይ ያልተካተቱትን ሁኔታዎች በመተንተን የመሆን ዕድላቸው በጣም የሰፉ ግምቶችን መወራረድ ማለት ነው ። ምንም እንኳን እነዚህ ውርርዶች የማሸነፍ እድላቸው ምንም ያህል ከፍተኛ ቢሆንም እንኳ መቶ በመቶ የማሸነፍ ዕድል አላቸው ብሎ መደምደም አይቻልም፡፡ ምክንያቱ ደግሞ አንዳንድ ጊዜ በስፖርት ዓለም ውስጥ ከግምት ውጭ ያልተጠበቁ ነገሮች የመከሰት ዕድል ስላላቸው ነው።

ሌላኛው የተረጋገጠ ውርርድ ትርጉም የሚሰጠው የጨዋታው ውጤት ምንም ይሁን ምን የተወራራጆችን አሸናፊነትን ለሚያረጋግጥ የውርርድ አይነት ለማመልከት ነው። ይህ ውርርድ አርቢትሬጅ ተብሎም ይጠራል። በዚህ የውርርድ አይነት የመጨረሻው ውጤት ምንም ይሁን ምን በውርርድ ላይ ትርፍ ለማግኘት የሚሰላ የሂሳብ ቀመር የያዘ ነው። ይህ ስልት በተፎካካሪ የውርርድ ድርጅቶች መካከል የሚፈጠርን የኦድ ካልኩሌሽን ክፍተት በመጠቀም ላይ የተመሰረተ ነው፡፡ የውርርድ ድርጅቶች በአንድ የተወሰነ ክስተት ላይ ባላቸው መረጃ እና ትንታኔ ተመስርተው ኦዶችን ያዘጋጃሉ፡፡ ታዲያ በዚህ ስሌታቸው ውስጥ አንዳንድ ጊዜ ለተመሳሳይ ክስተቶች የተለያየ ዕይታ እና ግምት የሚያስቀምጡበት ጊዜ አለ።

እነዚህን መሰል ክፍተቶች ለመጠቀም የውርርድ ባለሙያዎች በተለያዩ  የውርርድ ድርጅት ድረ-ገጾች ላይ ካሰሱ በኋላ የሚያገኙትን ዕድል ተጠቅመው ትንሽ ትርፍ ወይም ያስያዙትን ገንዘብ ተመላሽ ለማድረግ የሚያስችል የውርርድ ቀመር ያዘጋጃሉ፡፡ በተመሳሳይ ክስተት ውስጥ ያሉ ተቃራኒ ውጤቶች ላይ የተለያዩ የመደብ ገንዘቦችን በማስያዝ የተወሰነ ትርፍ ማግኘት ይችላሉ። በሂሳባዊ ስሌት መሰረት በዚህ የውርርድ አይነት ተወራራጆች ካስያዙት ገንዘብ መጠን ከ1 እስከ 3 በመቶ የሚደርስ ትርፍ ይገኛሉ።

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